Climate products for Kyrgyzstan: development, analysis and forecast

Authors

  • M.V. Georgievsky State Hydrological Institute, 23, 2nd line, Vasilyevsky Island, 199053, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation
  • A.O. Podrezov Central-Asian Institute for Applied Geosciences, 73/2, Timur Frunze st., 720027, Bishkek, Kyrgyz Republic
  • K.K. Suinalieva
  • A.A. Klyucharyova

Keywords:

Climate products, climate indices, climate change, the Kyrgyz Republic, methodology, forecast.

Abstract

The article presents a scientific analysis of climate products
(indices) developed for the territory of the Kyrgyz Republic. The calculation results
and statistical analysis of the climate products for the period 1980-2022 are
presented, based on data from 13 meteorological stations located in various
physical and geographical zones of Kyrgyzstan. A methodology for assessing
possible changes in the values of climate products in the future based on data from
the CMIP6 project is proposed and the obtained results are presented. The
estimated values of the climate products allow to draw a conclusion about the
observed trends of climate change in the Kyrgyz Republic, which are likely to
continue in the future. The most noteworthy and statistically significant changes are
associated with the growing season.

Downloads

Published

2025-10-20

Issue

Vol. 11 No. 2 (2025): Fundamental and applied climatology

Section

Research and Reviews