Перспективы развития и декарбонизации цементной промышленности мира
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21513/2410-8758-2023-1-33-64Ключевые слова:
Мировая цементная промышленность, декарбониза- ция, прогнозы, парниковые газы, технологии.Аннотация
В статье рассмотрены тенденции и прогнозные оценки разви-
тия мировой цементной промышленности и основные направления ее декар-
бонизации. В 2019-2020 гг. на производство цемента в мире пришлось более
3 ГтСО2экв., или 17% всех выбросов парниковых газов (ПГ) от промышлен-
ности и 5% всех глобальных антропогенных выбросов ПГ. Показано, что глу-
бокая декарбонизация цементной промышленности возможна в основном за
счет снижения материалоемкости, замещения клинкера другими материа-
лами, а также за счет масштабного применения технологии CCUS. Для реше-
ния задачи декарбонизации при минимальных затратах нужно использовать
широкий пакет технологий. Однако, только небольшая часть задачи глубокой
декарбонизации цементной промышленности решается на счет уже широко
используемых на рынке технологий. Прогресс в коммерциализации и удешев-
лении инновационных технологий будет определять реальные временные гра-
ницы декарбонизации мировой цементной промышленности.
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