Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

'2, ɍȾɄ
Ɉɰɟɧɤɚɜɤɥɚɞɚɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɢɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯɝɚɡɨɜ
ɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªɊɨɫɫɢɢ
ɂ.Ⱥ. Ȼɚɲɦɚɤɨɜ1)*, Ⱥ.Ⱦ. Ɇɵɲɚɤ1), ȼ.Ⱥ. Ȼɚɲɦɚɤɨɜ1), ȼ.ɂ. Ȼɚɲɦɚɤɨɜ1),
Ʉ.Ȼ. Ȼɨɪɢɫɨɜ1), Ɇ.Ƚ. Ⱦɡɟɞɡɢɱɟɤ1), Ⱥ.Ⱥ. Ʌɭɧɢɧ1), Ɉ.ȼ. Ʌɟɛɟɞɟɜ1), Ɍ.Ȼ. ɒɢɲɤɢɧɚ1,2)
1)ɐɟɧɬɪɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ±;;,ɜɟɤ
ɊɎɝɆɨɫɤɜɚɭɥɇɨɜɨɱɟɪɟɦɭɲɤɢɧɫɤɚɹ
2)ɂɈɇɊȺɇɏɢȽɋ
Ɇɨɫɤɜɚɩɪȼɟɪɧɚɞɫɤɨɝɨɫɬɪ
Ⱥɞɪɟɫɞɥɹɩɟɪɟɩɢɫɤɢbashmako@co.ru
Ɋɟɮɟɪɚɬȼɞɚɧɧɨɣɫɬɚɬɶɟɩɪɟɞɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɵɤɪɚɬɤɨɟɨɩɢɫɚɧɢɟɢɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵ
ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɹɪɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɣɫɢɫɬɟɦɵɭɱɟɬɚɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
ɢ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯ ɝɚɡɨɜ ɜ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚª ɆɌɎɄɉȽ ɡɚ
ɝɝɗɬɚɪɚɡɪɚɛɨɬɚɧɧɚɹɢɷɤɫɩɥɭɚɬɢɪɭɟɦɚɹɚɜɬɨɪɚɦɢɧɚɩɪɨɬɹɠɟɧɢɢ
ɧɟɫɤɨɥɶɤɢɯɥɟɬɫɢɫɬɟɦɚɩɪɟɞɧɚɡɧɚɱɟɧɚɞɥɹɦɨɧɢɬɨɪɢɧɝɚɩɪɨɝɪɟɫɫɚɜɨɛɥɚɫɬɢ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɯɢɜɢɞɚɯɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɫ
ɨɰɟɧɤɨɣ ɜɤɥɚɞɚ  ɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜ Ɉɧɚ ɬɚɤɠɟ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɬɫɹ ɞɥɹ ɦɨɧɢɬɨɪɢɧɝɚ ɩɪɨ
ɝɪɟɫɫɚɜɫɮɟɪɟɤɨɧɬɪɨɥɹɡɚɜɵɛɪɨɫɚɦɢɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯɝɚɡɨɜɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟ
ɬɢɤɚªɫɨɰɟɧɤɨɣɜɤɥɚɞɚɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɉɨɤɚɡɚɧɨɱɬɨɜɝɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪ ɧɟ ɬɨɪɦɨɡɢɥ ɚ ɭɜɟɥɢɱɢɜɚɥ ɨɛɴɟɦɵ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɚ ɜ 
ɝɝɟɝɨɬɨɪɦɨɡɹɳɢɣɷɮɮɟɤɬɛɵɥɨɝɪɚɧɢɱɟɧɧɵɦɈɬɫɭɬɫɬɜɢɟɩɪɨɝɪɟɫɫɚɜ
ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɢɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɧɚɪɹɞɭɫɪɨɫɬɨɦɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟ
ɦɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɩɪɢɜɟɥɨɤɬɨɦɭɱɬɨɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɧɚɫɦɟɧɭ©ɫɭɩɟɪɤɚɩɥɢɧɝɭª
ɝɝɩɪɚɤɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɩɨɥɧɨɦɭɫɨɜɩɚɞɟɧɢɸɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯ
ɝɚɡɨɜɢȼȼɉɜɝɩɪɢɲɟɥ©ɨɛɪɚɬɧɵɣɞɟɤɚɩɥɢɧɝªɪɨɫɬɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɩɚɪɧɢ
ɤɨɜɵɯɝɚɡɨɜɩɪɢɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɢȼȼɉ
Ʉɥɸɱɟɜɵɟɫɥɨɜɚɗɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɛɚɥɚɧɫɫɢɫɬɟɦɚɭɱɟɬɚɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤ
ɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɢɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯɝɚɡɨɜɮɚɤ
ɬɨɪɧɵɣɚɧɚɥɢɡɫɪɟɞɧɟɥɨɝɚɪɢɮɦɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɢɧɞɟɤɫȾɢɜɢɡɢɚ
$VVHVVLQJWKHFRQWULEXWLRQIURPWHFKQRORJLFDOIDFWRU
WRHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\LPSURYHPHQWDQGWRWKHHYROXWLRQ
RIHQHUJ\UHODWHGHPLVVLRQVRIJUHHQKRXVHJDVHVLQ5XVVLD
I.A. Bashmakov1)*, A.D. Myshak1), V.A. Bashmakov1), V.I. Bashmakov1),
K.B. Borisov1), M.G. Dzedzichek1), A.A. Lunin1), O.V. Lebedev1), Shishkina T.B.1,2)
1)&HQWHUIRU(QHUJ\(IILFLHQF\±;;,
1RYRFKHUHPXVKNLQVND\DVW0RVFRZ5XVVLDQ)HGHUDWLRQ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

2),665$1(3$
3URVSHNW9HUQDGVNRJR0RVFRZ5XVVLDQ)HGHUDWLRQ
&RUUHVSRQGHQFHDGGUHVVbashmako@co.ru
$EVWUDFW7KLVDUWLFOHSUHVHQWVDEULHIGHVFULSWLRQDQGWKHUHVXOWVRIXVLQJWKH
5XVVLDQ HQHUJ\ HIILFLHQF\ LPSURYHPHQW DQG HQHUJ\ UHODWHG JUHHQKRXVH JDV
HPLVVLRQVDFFRXQWLQJV\VWHP07)&*+*IRU7KLVV\VWHPDV
GHYHORSHGDQGRSHUDWHGE\WKHDXWKRUVIRUVHYHUDO\HDUVLVGHVLJQHGWRPRQLWRUWKH
HQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\SURJUHVVLQVHFWRUVDQGHFRQRPLFDFWLYLWLHVDQGWRHVWLPDWH
WKHFRQWULEXWLRQVIURPIDFWRUV,WLVDOVRXVHGWRPRQLWRUWKHSURJUHVVWRLQFUHDVH
UDWKHUWKDQVORZGRZQHQHUJ\FRQVXPSWLRQDQGLQLWVLQKLELWRU\HIIHFW
ZDVOLPLWHG/DFNRISURJUHVVLQEULQJLQJGRZQ*'3HQHUJ\LQWHQVLW\FRXSOHGZLWK
LQFUHDVHG FDUERQ LQWHQVLW\ RI HQHUJ\ UHVXOWHG LQ WKH IDFW WKDW WKH VXSHUFRXSOLQJ
REVHUYHGLQ5XVVLDLQLHQHDUO\FRPSOHWHFRLQFLGHQFHRIWKHHYROXWLRQV
RIJUHHQKRXVHJDVHPLVVLRQVDQG*'3ZDVUHSODFHGZLWKWKH³UHYHUVHGHFRXSOLQJ´LQ
LHJUHHQKRXVHJDVHPLVVLRQJURZWKDORQJZLWK*'3UHGXFWLRQ
.H\ZRUGV (QHUJ\ EDODQFH HQHUJ\ HIILFLHQF\ DFFRXQWLQJ V\VWHP HQHUJ\
HIILFLHQF\ LQGLFDWRUV JUHHQKRXVH JDV HPLVVLRQV IDFWRU DQDO\VLV ORJPHDQ 'LYLVLD
LQGH[
ȼɜɟɞɟɧɢɟ
Ⱦɥɹ ɪɟɲɟɧɢɹ ɭɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɱɟɫɤɢɯ ɡɚɞɚɱ ɜ ɫɮɟɪɟ ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤ
ɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɢɞɟɤɚɪɛɨɧɢɡɚɰɢɢɜɚɠɧɨɧɟɬɨɥɶɤɨɡɧɚɬɶɤɚɤɢɡɦɟɧɢɥɚɫɶɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦ
ɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɢɥɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯɝɚɡɨɜɉȽɧɨɢɜɵɹɜɢɬɶɩɪɢɱɢɧɵɷɬɢɯ
ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɣɌɚɤɨɣɩɨɞɯɨɞɩɨɡɜɨɥɹɟɬɨɰɟɧɢɜɚɬɶɷɮɮɟɤɬɵɨɬɩɪɢɧɹɬɵɯɦɟɪɝɨɫ
ɩɨɥɢɬɢɤɢɧɚɮɨɧɟɦɧɨɝɢɯɩɪɨɱɢɯɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɤɨɬɨɪɵɟɜɥɢɹɸɬɧɚɷɬɢɩɪɨɰɟɫɫɵ
ɢɩɪɚɜɢɥɶɧɨɨɰɟɧɢɬɶɭɫɩɟɯɢɜɧɢɡɤɨɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɝɨɧɤɟȻɚɲ
ɦɚɤɨɜɢɞɪɚɉɨɷɬɨɦɭɜɩɨɫɥɟɞɧɢɟɝɨɞɵɜɨɦɧɨɝɢɯɫɬɪɚɧɚɯɢɦɟɠɞɭɧɚ
ɪɨɞɧɵɯ ɨɪɝɚɧɢɡɚɰɢɹɯ ɫɨɡɞɚɧɨ ɛɨɥɶɲɨɟ ɱɢɫɥɨ ɬɚɤɢɯ ɫɢɫɬɟɦ ɦɨɧɢɬɨɪɢɧɝɚ ɫ
ɜɵɞɟɥɟɧɢɟɦɜɥɢɹɧɢɹɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɯɫɞɜɢɝɨɜɜɷɤɨ
ɧɨɦɢɤɟ ɤɥɢɦɚɬɚ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɹ ɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯ ɪɚɫɯɨɞɨɜ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɞɨɥɢ ɢɫɤɨɩɚɟɦɵɯ
ɬɨɩɥɢɜɜɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɢɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɢɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯɝɚɡɨɜɉȽ
ɧɚ ɟɞɢɧɢɰɭ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɦɨɝɨ ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚ ɋɬɟɩɟɧɶ ɞɟɬɚɥɢɡɚɰɢɢ ɚɧɚɥɢɡɚ ɢɱɢɫɥɨ
ɜɵɞɟɥɹɟɦɵɯɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɡɚɦɟɬɧɨɪɚɡɥɢɱɚɟɬɫɹɨɬɫɢɫɬɟɦɵɤɫɢɫɬɟɦɟȼɝɨɞɭ
ɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɛɵɥɚɫɨɡɞɚɧɚɩɟɪɜɚɹɬɚɤɚɹɫɢɫɬɟɦɚɞɥɹɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ȼȼɉ ɢ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽ Ȼɚɲɦɚɤɨɜ Ɇɵɲɚɤ  %DVKPDNRY
0\VKDN%DVKPDNRY0\VKDNɁɚɬɟɦɜɝɨɞɭɨɧɚɛɵɥɚɡɚɦɟɬɧɨ
ɪɚɡɜɢɬɚ ɢ ɨɮɨɪɦɥɟɧɚ ɩɪɢɤɚɡɨɦ Ɇɢɧɷɤɨɧɨɦɪɚɡɜɢɬɢɹ Ɋɨɫɫɢɢ ɨɬ ɚɜɝɭɫɬɚ
ɝ ʋ ɆɗɊ ɊɎ  ɫɧɚɱɚɥɚ ɬɨɥɶɤɨ ɞɥɹ ɮɨɪɦɢɪɨɜɚɧɢɹ ɟɞɢɧɨɝɨ
ɬɨɩɥɢɜɧɨɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɛɚɥɚɧɫɚȿɌɗȻɢɜɵɹɜɥɟɧɢɹɜɤɥɚɞɚɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟ
ɫɤɨɝɨ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɚ ɜ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ȼȼɉ ȼ  ɝɨɞɭ ɮɭɧɤɰɢɢɷɬɨɣ
ɫɢɫɬɟɦɵ ɩɨ ɬɪɟɛɨɜɚɧɢɸ Ɇɢɧɷɤɨɧɨɦɪɚɡɜɢɬɢɹ ɊɎ ɛɵɥɢ ɪɚɫɲɢɪɟɧɵ ɱɬɨɛɵ
ɨɰɟɧɢɜɚɬɶɜɥɢɹɧɢɟɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɢɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚª
%DVKPDNRYHWDOɌɚɤɚɹɪɚɛɨɬɚɩɪɨɜɨɞɢɬɫɹɟɠɟɝɨɞɧɨɚɟɟɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵ
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɨɬɪɚɠɚɸɬɫɹ ɜ Ƚɨɫɭɞɚɪɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɦ ɞɨɤɥɚɞɟ ɨ ɫɨɫɬɨɹɧɢɢ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɫɛɟɪɟɠɟɧɢɹ ɢ
ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɢɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢȽɨɫɞɨɤɥɚɞ
ȼɩɟɪɜɨɦɪɚɡɞɟɥɟɫɬɚɬɶɢɞɚɧɤɪɚɬɤɢɣɚɧɚɥɢɡɥɢɬɟɪɚɬɭɪɵɩɨɩɪɢɦɟɧɟɧɢɸ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪɧɨɝɨɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢɷɧɟɪɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽȼɨɜɬɨɪɨɦ
ɪɚɡɞɟɥɟ ɤɪɚɬɤɨ ɨɩɢɫɚɧɚ ɞɟɣɫɬɜɭɸɳɚɹ ɜɟɪɫɢɹ ɦɨɞɟɥɢ ɆɌɎɄɉȽȼ
ɬɪɟɬɶɟɦɪɚɡɞɟɥɟɩɨɤɚɡɚɧɵɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵɟɟɩɪɢɦɟɧɟɧɢɹɞɥɹɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢ
ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɢɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɊɨɫɫɢɢɜɝɝȼɱɟɬɜɟɪ
ɬɨɦ ɪɚɡɞɟɥɟ ɩɨɤɚɡɚɧɵ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵ ɟɟ ɩɪɢɦɟɧɟɧɢɹ ɞɥɹ ɚɧɚɥɢɡɚ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯɝɚɡɨɜɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªȼɩɹɬɨɦɪɚɡɞɟɥɟɤɪɚɬɤɨ
ɨɛɫɭɠɞɚɟɬɫɹ ɜɥɢɹɧɢɟ ɩɨɫɥɟɞɧɢɯ ɬɪɟɧɞɨɜ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽ ɧɚ ɪɟɲɟɧɢɟ ɡɚɞɚɱɢ
ɞɨɫɬɢɠɟɧɢɹɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣɧɟɣɬɪɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɤɝ
Ɉɩɵɬɮɚɤɬɨɪɧɨɝɨɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽ
ȼɦɢɪɟ ɧɚɤɨɩɥɟɧɞɨɜɨɥɶɧɨɨɛɲɢɪɧɵɣ ɨɩɵɬ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɧɨɝɨ ɚɧɚɥɢɡɚ ɞɢɧɚ
ɦɢɤɢ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ɢ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽ Ɍɪɚɞɢɰɢɨɧɧɨɣ ɫɯɟɦɨɣ ɞɟɤɨɦɩɨɡɢɰɢɢ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɹɜɥɹɟɬɫɹɬɨɠɞɟɫɬɜɨɄɚɣɢ.D\D/DPEHWDO'KDNDO
HWDOɫɨɝɥɚɫɧɨɤɨɬɨɪɨɦɭɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽɪɚɜɧɵɩɪɨɢɡɜɟɞɟɧɢɸɱɢɫɥɟɧɧɨ
ɫɬɢɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹȼȼɉɧɚɞɭɲɭɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɢɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨ
ɫɬɢɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɆɗȺɫɨɡɞɚɥɨɛɚɡɭɞɚɧɧɵɯɜɤɨɬɨɪɨɣɩɨɛɨɥɶɲɢɧɫɬɜɭɫɬɪɚɧ
ɦɢɪɚ ɨɬɪɚɠɟɧɚ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɚ ɜɫɟɯ ɫɨɫɬɚɜɥɹɸɳɢɯɷɬɨɝɨɬɨɠɞɟɫɬɜɚɧɚɝɨɪɢɡɨɧɬɟ
ɝɨɞɨɜ,($Ɉɞɧɚɤɨɜɷɬɨɦɬɨɠɞɟɫɬɜɟɮɚɤɬɨɪɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤ
ɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɨɬɪɚɠɚɟɬɢɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɟɫɞɜɢɝɢɢɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɤɥɢɦɚɬɚɚɫɨɛɫɬɜɟɧɧɨ
ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɜɧɟɦɧɟɜɵɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹȻɨɥɟɟɬɨɝɨɬɚɤɨɣɩɨɞɯɨɞɢɦɟɟɬ
ɨɝɪɚɧɢɱɟɧɧɭɸ ɰɟɧɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɪɢ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɢ ɞɥɹ ɞɟɤɨɦɩɨɡɢɰɢɢ ɜ ɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɯ
ɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɯɝɞɟɬɪɟɛɭɸɬɫɹɛɨɥɟɟɫɩɟɰɢɚɥɢɡɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɵɟɢɧɞɢɤɚɬɨɪɵȼɧɢɯɦɨɝɭɬ
ɩɪɢɦɟɧɹɬɶɫɹɦɨɞɢɮɢɰɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɵɟɬɨɠɞɟɫɬɜɚɤɚɤɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪɩɪɟɞɥɨɠɟɧɧɨɟɂ
Ȼɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɵɦɞɥɹɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ%DVKPDNRY%DVKPDNRYHWDOD
ɑɚɫɬɨ ɬɪɚɞɢɰɢɨɧɧɵɣ ɚɧɚɥɢɡ ɧɚ ɛɚɡɟ ɬɨɠɞɟɫɬɜɚ Ʉɚɣɢ ɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬ ɬɪɚɟɤɬɨɪɢɢ
ɞɜɢɠɟɧɢɹɨɫɧɨɜɧɵɯɞɪɚɣɜɟɪɨɜɛɟɡɤɨɥɢɱɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɣɨɰɟɧɤɢɜɤɥɚɞɚɤɚɠɞɨɝɨɢɡ
ɧɢɯɜɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶɢɥɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽ
Ⱦɥɹɪɟɲɟɧɢɹɦɧɨɝɢɯɭɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɱɟɫɤɢɯɡɚɞɚɱɬɪɟɛɭɟɬɫɹɩɟɪɟɯɨɞɨɬɚɝɪɟɝɢ
ɪɨɜɚɧɧɨɝɨɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɧɚɭɪɨɜɧɟɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɜɰɟɥɨɦɤɚɧɚɥɢɡɭɩɨɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɦɜɯɨɞɹ
ɳɢɦ ɜ ɧɟɝɨ ɜɢɞɚɦ ɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɉɨɷɬɨɦɭ ɩɪɚɤɬɢɱɟɫɤɢ ɨɞɧɨɜɪɟɦɟɧɧɨɢ
ɩɚɪɚɥɥɟɥɶɧɨ ɫɬɚɥɨ ɪɚɡɜɢɜɚɬɶɫɹ ɜɬɨɪɨɟ ɧɚɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɢɟ ɞɟɬɚɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɚɧɚɥɢɡɚ ɫ
ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟɦ ɬɟɨɪɢɢ ɱɢɫɥɨɜɵɯ ɢɧɞɟɤɫɨɜ ɢ ɨɫɨɛɟɧɧɨ ɫ ɩɪɢɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɦ
ɦɟɬɨɞɚ/0',±ɫɪɟɞɧɟɥɨɝɚɪɢɮɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɢɧɞɟɤɫɚȾɢɜɢɡɢɚ$QJ&KRL
$QJ&KRL$QJ&KRL%DVKPDNRY0\VKDN%LQ$QJ
&DKLOO*DOODFKyLU.RLODNRXHWDO/HH.LPɈɛɡɨɪɷɬɢɯɪɚɛɨɬ
ɞɚɧ ɜ *RK$QJ  Ȼɨɥɟɟ ɬɨɝɨ ɩɨɹɜɢɥɢɫɶ ɢɧɬɟɪɚɤɬɢɜɧɵɟ ɢɧɫɬɪɭɦɟɧɬɵ
ɞɥɹ ɩɪɨɜɟɞɟɧɢɹ ɬɚɤɨɝɨ ɚɧɚɥɢɡɚ (QHUGDWD ɉɪɢ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɢ ɬɚɤɨɝɨ
ɩɨɞɯɨɞɚɩɨɹɜɥɹɟɬɫɹɧɨɜɵɣɞɪɚɣɜɟɪ±ɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɟɫɞɜɢɝɢɜɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɟɤɨɬɨ
ɪɵɟɨɱɟɧɶɡɚɦɟɬɧɨɜɥɢɹɸɬɤɚɤɧɚɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭɷɧɟɪɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɬɚɤɢɧɚɞɢɧɚ
ɦɢɤɭ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽ ɂɧɫɬɪɭɦɟɧɬɵ ɭɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɢɹ ɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɦɢ ɷɮɮɟɤɬɚɦɢ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

ɞɪɭɝɢɟ±ɧɟɫɬɨɥɶɤɨɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɚɹɫɤɨɥɶɤɨɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɚɹɩɨɥɢɬɢɤɚɁɧɚɱɢ
ɬɟɥɶɧɚɹ ɱɚɫɬɶ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ɢɥɢ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽ ɩɨɪɨɠɞɚɟɬɫɹ
ɢɦɟɧɧɨɬɚɤɢɦɢɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɦɢɫɞɜɢɝɚɦɢ(QHUGDWDȿɫɥɢɷɮɮɟɤɬɬɟɯɧɨ
ɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜ ɨɫɧɨɜɧɨɦ ɹɜɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɨɦ ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹ ɤɚɱɟɫɬɜɚ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɬɨɟɫɬɶɪɨɫɬɚɞɨɥɢɛɨɥɟɟɤɚɱɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯɢɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɛɨɥɟɟɞɨɪɨ
ɝɢɯɷɧɟɪɝɨɪɟɫɭɪɫɨɜɬɨɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɟɫɞɜɢɝɢɜɛɨɥɶɲɨɣɫɬɟɩɟɧɢɩɨɪɨɠɞɚɸɬɫɹ
ɰɟɧɨɜɵɦɢ ɲɨɤɚɦɢ ɩɪɢɜɨɞɹɳɢɦɢ ɤ ɢɡɛɵɬɨɱɧɨɦɭ ɭɞɨɪɨɠɚɧɢɸ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
%DVKPDNRY
ɉɪɢɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɩɨɞɯɨɞɚɩɪɹɦɨɝɨɚɝɪɟɝɢɪɨɜɚɧɢɹɜ/0',ɤɨɜɫɟɣɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɟ
ɡɚɬɪɭɞɧɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɩɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɢɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɨɜɫɟɯɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɯ ɢɦɟɸɬ
ɪɚɡɥɢɱɧɭɸɮɢɡɢɱɟɫɤɭɸɩɪɢɪɨɞɭɢɡɦɟɪɹɸɬɫɹɜɪɚɡɧɵɯɟɞɢɧɢɰɚɯɢɩɨɷɬɨɦɭɧɟ
ɫɭɦɦɢɪɭɸɬɫɹɫɨɛɳɢɦɢɧɞɟɤɫɨɦɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɞɥɹɤɨɬɨɪɨɝɨɱɚɫɬɨɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɬɫɹ
ȼȼɉɜɤɚɱɟɫɬɜɟɩɪɨɤɫɢȼɪɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɣɫɢɫɬɟɦɟɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɢɦɚɫɲɬɚɛɨɜɞɟɹɬɟɥɶ
ɧɨɫɬɢɜɪɚɡɥɢɱɧɵɯɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɯɩɪɟɞɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɵɜɨɫɧɨɜɧɨɦɜɮɢɡɢɱɟɫɤɢɯɟɞɢɧɢ
ɰɚɯɦɬɨɧɧɵɬɤɦɤȼɬɱɢɬɞɤɨɬɨɪɵɟɧɟɦɨɝɭɬɛɵɬɶɚɝɪɟɝɢɪɨɜɚɧɵȻɵɥɨ
ɩɪɨɞɟɦɨɧɫɬɪɢɪɨɜɚɧɨ &DKLOO *DOODFKyLU  ɱɬɨ ɮɢɡɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɢ ɞɟɧɟɠɧɵɟ
ɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɢ ɜɵɩɭɫɤɚ ɦɨɝɭɬ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɬɶɫɹ ɫɨɜɦɟɫɬɧɨ ɜ ɞɟɤɨɦɩɨɡɢɰɢɨɧɧɨɦ
ɚɧɚɥɢɡɟ ɱɬɨɛɵ ɨɬɪɚɡɢɬɶɜɡɚɢɦɨɞɟɣɫɬɜɢɟɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɟɣ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
ɨɫɧɨɜɚɧɧɵɯɤɚɤɧɚɮɢɡɢɱɟɫɤɢɯɟɞɢɧɢɰɚɯɬɚɤɢɧɚɟɞɢɧɢɰɚɯɞɨɛɚɜɥɟɧɧɨɣɫɬɨ
ɢɦɨɫɬɢ/HH.LP  ɩɪɢɦɟɧɢɥɢɞɟɤɨɦɩɨɡɢɰɢɨɧɧɵɣɚɧɚɥɢɡ ɤ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞ
ɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɦɭ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɭ ɘɠɧɨɣɄɨɪɟɢɢɩɪɢɲɥɢɤɜɵɜɨɞɭɱɬɨɜɤɥɚɞ
ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɷɜɨɥɸɰɢɸɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ©ɤɚɠɟɬɫɹɩɟɪɟɨ
ɰɟɧɟɧɧɵɦɟɫɥɢɚɧɚɥɢɡɢɪɨɜɚɬɶɟɝɨɛɟɡɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɟɣɮɢɡɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɨɛɴɟɦɚɩɪɨ
ɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚª Ɉɧɢ ɬɚɤɠɟ ɩɪɢɲɥɢ ɤ ɜɵɜɨɞɭ ɱɬɨ ɷɮɮɟɤɬɵ ɢɧɬɟɧɫɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
ɧɚɦɧɨɝɨ ɧɢɠɟ ɤɨɝɞɚ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɬɫɹ ɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɟ ɚ ɧɟ ɤɨɧɟɱɧɨɟ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɂɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟɦɟɬɨɞɚ/0',ɩɪɢɩɨɞɪɨɛɧɨɣɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɢɡɚɰɢɢɢɧɮɨɪ
ɦɚɰɢɢ ɢ ɜɵɞɟɥɟɧɢɢ ɨɫɧɨɜɧɵɯ ɞɪɚɣɜɟɪɨɜ ɩɨɡɜɨɥɹɟɬ ɦɚɤɫɢɦɚɥɶɧɨ ɩɪɢɛɥɢ
ɡɢɬɶɫɹɤɨɰɟɧɤɟɜɤɥɚɞɚɢɦɟɧɧɨɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽ
ɋɢɫɬɟɦɵɮɚɤɬɨɪɧɨɝɨɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɢɦɟɸɬɨɞɢɧɧɟɞɨ
ɫɬɚɬɨɤ ɨɧɢ ɩɪɟɞɩɨɥɚɝɚɸɬ ɱɬɨ ɜɫɟ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɦɵɟ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɵ ɧɟɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɵ
.RLODNRX HW DO  ɩɨɞɱɟɪɤɧɭɥɢ ɱɬɨ ɞɚɥɶɧɟɣɲɢɟ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɧɢɹ ɞɨɥɠɧɵ
ɜɤɥɸɱɚɬɶɩɪɨɜɟɪɤɭɩɪɢɱɢɧɧɨɫɥɟɞɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯɫɜɹɡɟɣɦɟɠɞɭɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɦɢɇɚɩɪɢ
ɦɟɪɩɟɪɟɯɨɞɫɭɝɥɹɧɚɩɪɢɪɨɞɧɵɣɝɚɡɩɪɢɜɨɞɢɬɤɛɨɥɟɟɧɢɡɤɨɦɭɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢ
ɟɧɬɭɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɢɩɨɬɟɧɰɢɚɥɶɧɨɛɨɥɟɟɜɵɫɨɤɨɣɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
ɝɟɧɟɪɚɰɢɢɚɩɪɨɧɢɤɧɨɜɟɧɢɟɫɨɥɧɟɱɧɨɣɢɜɟɬɪɨɜɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɫɧɢɠɚɟɬɧɟɬɨɥɶɤɨ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽɧɨɢɬɟɪɦɨɞɢɧɚɦɢɱɟɫɤɢɟɩɨɬɟɪɢɩɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭɨɧɢɭɱɢɬɵɜɚɸɬɫɹɜ
ɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɤɚɤɢɦɟɸɳɢɟɫɬɨɩɪɨɰɟɧɬɧɭɸɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɶ
ɆɨɞɟɥɶɆɌɎɄɉȽ
Ⱥɪɯɢɬɟɤɬɭɪɚɪɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɣɫɢɫɬɟɦɵɮɚɤɬɨɪɧɨɝɨɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢɷɧɟɪ
ɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɩɨɤɚɡɚɧɚɧɚɪɢɫɈɧɚɮɨɪɦɚɥɢɡɨɜɚɧɚɢɡɚɩɪɨ
ɝɪɚɦɦɢɪɨɜɚɧɚ ɤɚɤ ɦɨɞɟɥɶ ɆɌɎɄɉȽ ɛɚɡɢɪɭɸɳɚɹɫɹ ɧɚ /0',
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɉɟɪɟɱɟɧɶɜɢɞɨɜɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɜɤɥɸɱɚɟɬɫɟɤɬɨɪɨɜɢ
ɜɢɞɨɜ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɩɨɞɫɟɤɬɨɪɨɜ ɇɟɤɨɬɨɪɵɟ ɨɬɪɚɫɥɢ
ɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪɫɬɪɨɢɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɨɜɤɥɸɱɚɸɬɬɨɥɶɤɨɨɞɢɧɜɢɞɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɞɟɹ
ɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɌɨɥɶɤɨɜɢɞɨɜɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɫɜɵɩɭɫɤɨɦɛɨɥɶɲɨɣɧɨɦɟɧɤɥɚ
ɬɭɪɵ ɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢ ɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨ ɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɧɧɨɝɨ ɨɛɨɪɭɞɨɜɚɧɢɹ
ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨɩɪɨɞɭɤɬɨɜɩɢɬɚɧɢɹɧɚɩɢɬɤɨɜɢɬɚɛɚɤɚɩɪɟɞɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɵɮɢɡɢ
ɱɟɫɤɢɦɢɢɧɞɟɤɫɚɦɢɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚɈɫɬɚɥɶɧɵɟɜɢɞɨɜɞɟɹ
ɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɩɪɟɞɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɵ ɧɚɬɭɪɚɥɶɧɵɦɢ ɮɢɡɢɱɟɫɤɢɦɢ ɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɹɦɢ ȼ
ɞɨɩɨɥɧɟɧɢɟɤɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɦɤɨɧɟɱɧɨɝɨɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɆɌɎɄ
ɉȽɬɚɤɠɟɪɚɫɫɦɚɬɪɢɜɚɸɬɫɹɜɫɟɩɪɨɰɟɫɫɵɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɤɥɸ
ɱɚɹɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɢɬɟɩɥɚɩɟɪɟɪɚɛɨɬɤɭɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɫɨɛɫɬɜɟɧ
ɧɨɟ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ ɜ ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɦ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ ɩɟɪɟɞɚɱɭ ɢ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ
ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɢɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɉɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɷɬɢɯɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɯɜɤɥɸɱɚɟɬɬɟɪɦɨ
ɞɢɧɚɦɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɩɨɬɟɪɢ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɟ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ ɮɢɡɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ
ɩɨɬɟɪɢ ɩɪɢ ɩɟɪɟɪɚɛɨɬɤɟ ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚ ɩɨɬɟɪɢ ɩɪɢ ɩɟɪɟɞɚɱɟ ɢ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɢ
ɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɢ ɬɟɩɥɚ Ʉɨɝɞɚ ɜɫɟ ɷɬɢ ɫɨɫɬɚɜɥɹɸɳɢɟ ɞɨɛɚɜɥɹɸɬɫɹ ɤ
ɤɨɧɟɱɧɨɦɭ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɸ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɨɰɟɧɢɜɚɟɬɫɹ ɜɨɫɯɨɞɹɳɟɟ bottom-up
ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ ɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɉɪɢ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɢ ɩɨɞɯɨɞɚ ɫɜɟɪɯɭ
ɜɧɢɡ top-down ɫɭɦɦɚɪɧɨɟ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟ ɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɨɰɟɧɢɜɚɟɬɫɹ
ɤɚɤɫɭɦɦɚɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɩɨɜɢɞɚɦɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɦɨɝɨɤɚɤɪɚɡɧɢɰɚ
ɨɛɴɟɦɨɜ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚ ɧɟɬɬɨɷɤɫɩɨɪɬɚ ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚ ɢ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɹ ɡɚɩɚɫɨɜ
ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɭɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɢɬɟɥɟɣɢɩɨɬɪɟɛɢɬɟɥɟɣɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣɷɥɟɤ
ɬɪɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɢ ɬɟɩɥɨɜɨɣ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɨɬ ɧɟɬɨɩɥɢɜɧɵɯ ɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɨɜ Ⱥɗɋ Ƚɗɋ
ȽɟɨɌɗɋɢɞɪȼɂɗɫɚɥɶɞɨɛɚɥɚɧɫɚɷɤɫɩɨɪɬɚɢɢɦɩɨɪɬɚɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ɉɪɢɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɢɩɨɞɯɨɞɚbottom-up ɫɭɦɦɚɪɧɨɟɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɨɰɟɧɢɜɚɟɬɫɹɤɚɤɫɭɦɦɚɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɩɨɜɫɟɦɜɢɞɚɦɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ
ɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ Ɋɚɡɧɢɰɚ ɜ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɚɯ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɹ ɷɬɢɯ ɞɜɭɯɩɨɞɯɨɞɨɜ
ɮɨɪɦɢɪɭɟɬɫɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɱɟɫɤɭɸɧɟɜɹɡɤɭ
ȼɆɌɎɄɉȽɨɰɟɧɢɜɚɟɬɫɹɜɨɡɞɟɣɫɬɜɢɟɫɟɦɢɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɧɚ ɞɢɧɚ
ɦɢɤɭ ɫɭɦɦɚɪɧɨɝɨ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ ɢ ɞɟɜɹɬɢ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜ ɧɚ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɗɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɚɹɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɶɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬɱɬɨɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɨɛɴɟ
ɦɨɜ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚ ɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɣ ɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢ ɭɫɥɭɝ ɱɢɫɥɚ ɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɟɣ
ɩɥɨɳɚɞɢ ɡɞɚɧɢɣ ɢɥɢ ɞɪɭɝɢɯ ɢɧɞɢɤɚɬɨɪɨɜ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɩɪɢ
ɩɪɨɱɢɯɪɚɜɧɵɯɭɫɥɨɜɢɹɯɩɪɢɜɨɞɢɬɤɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɸɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɌɟɯ
ɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɮɚɤɬɨɪ ɨɬɪɚɠɚɟɬ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɬɨɥɶɤɨ ɡɚ
ɫɱɟɬɜɧɟɞɪɟɧɢɹɛɨɥɟɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɝɨɨɛɨɪɭɞɨɜɚɧɢɹɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɯ
ɩɪɨɰɟɫɫɨɜɢɥɢɭɬɟɩɥɟɧɢɹɡɞɚɧɢɣɋɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɟɫɞɜɢɝɢɧɚɭɪɨɜɧɟɫɟɤɬɨ
ɪɨɜ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɢ ɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɸɬ ɱɬɨ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟ ɞɨɥɢ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɚ ɫ ɛɨɥɟɟ ɜɵɫɨɤɨɣ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶɸɜɥɟɱɟɬɡɚɫɨɛɨɣɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɸɳɟɟɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ
ɩɨ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɟ ɜ ɰɟɥɨɦ ɋɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɟ ɫɞɜɢɝɢ ɧɚ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ ɩɨɞɫɟɤɬɨɪɨɜɜɢɞɨɜ
ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɹ ɜ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɟ ɜɵɩɭɫɤɚ
ɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɜɢɞɨɜɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɣɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢɞɚɸɬɚɧɚɥɨɝɢɱɧɵɣɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪ
ɧɵɣɷɮɮɟɤɬɜɪɚɦɤɚɯɤɚɠɞɨɝɨɢɡɫɟɤɬɨɪɨɜɜɫɨɫɬɚɜɤɨɬɨɪɵɯɜɯɨɞɹɬ
ɚɧɚɥɢɡɢɪɭɟɦɵɯɜɢɞɨɜɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

ȿɳɟɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɜɤɥɸɱɚɸɬɫɨɛɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɟɧɭɠɞɵɧɚɜɵɪɚɛɨɬɤɭɷɥɟɤɬɪɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɢɬɟɩɥɨɜɨɣɷɧɟɪ
ɝɢɢɢɩɨɬɟɪɢɜɫɟɬɹɯɷɥɟɤɬɪɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɢɬɟɩɥɨɜɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɌɚɤɨɟɜɵɞɟɥɟɧɢɟɧɟɨɛɯɨɞɢɦɨɞɥɹ
ɨɰɟɧɤɢɤɨɫɜɟɧɧɵɯɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽ
ɊɢɫɭɧɨɤȺɪɯɢɬɟɤɬɭɪɚɪɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɣɫɢɫɬɟɦɵɆɌɎɄɉȽɞɥɹɨɰɟɧɤɢɜɤɥɚɞɚɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɯ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɜɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭɷɧɟɪɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɢɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉ
Bashmakov et al., 2023a)
)LJXUH$UFKLWHFWXUHRIWKH5XVVLDQ07)&*+*V\VWHPWRDVVHVVWKHFRQWULEXWLRQVIURP
LQGLYLGXDOIDFWRUVWRWKHG\QDPLFVRIHQHUJ\FRQVXPSWLRQDQG*'3HQHUJ\LQWHQVLW\
Bashmakov et al., 2023a
ʦʺ˃ˇʶ-16-80-ʿʧ
ɋɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ
ɮɨɪɦɵɊɨɫɫɬɚɬɚɩɨ
ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɸ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ɋɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ
ɞɚɧɧɵɟɊɨɫɫɬɚɬɚɩɨ
ɜɢɞɚɦɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ
ɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
Ʉɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɵ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɢɡ
ɧɚɰɢɨɧɚɥɶɧɨɣ
ɢɧɜɟɧɬɚɪɢɡɚɰɢɢɉȽ
ɆɨɞɟɥɶɆɌɎɄ-16-80-ɉȽ
Ⱦɚɧɧɵɟɨɛ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɢ
ɩɨɷɧɟɪɝɨɧɨɫɢ-
ɬɟɥɹɦɢɜɢɞɚɦ
ɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ
ɉɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɢ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
ɉɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɢ
ɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢɢ
ɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ
ɉȽ
ȿɞɢɧɵɣɬɨɩɥɢɜɧɨ-
ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ
ɛɚɥɚɧɫȿɌɗȻ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽ
Ɋɚɫɱɟɬɵɜɤɥɚɞɨɜ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɜ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟɧɚ
ɛɚɡɟLMDI
Ɋɚɫɱɟɬɵɜɤɥɚɞɨɜ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɜɜɵɛɪɨɫɵ
ɉȽɧɚɛɚɡɟ LMDI
ȼɵɯɨɞɧɵɟɩɚɪɚɦɟɬɪɵɦɨɞɟɥɢɆɌɎɄ-16-80-ɉȽ
Ʉɨɥɢɱɟɫɬɜɨɜɢɞɨɜ
ɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ
Ɏɚɤɬɨɪɵɞɥɹɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ
Ɏɚɤɬɨɪɵɞɥɹɚɧɚɥɢɡɚ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽ
ȼɢɞɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ
Ɇɟɠɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɥɶɧɵɟ
ɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɟɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɹ
ȼɧɭɬɪɢɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɥɶɧɵɟ
ɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɟ
Ɍɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪ
Ɂɚɝɪɭɡɤɚɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬ-
ɜɟɧɧɵɯɦɨɳɧɨɫɬɟɣ
Ʉɥɢɦɚɬ
Ȼɥɚɝɨɭɫɬɪɨɣɫɬɜɨɢ
ɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɟɧɧɨɫɬɶ
Ⱦɨɥɹɢɫɤɨɩɚɟɦɨɝɨ
ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚ
ɍɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɬɨɩɥɢɜɚ
ȼɫɟɝɨɩɨɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɟ 80
ɗɥɟɤɬɪɨɫɧɚɛɠɟɧɢɟ 5
Ɍɟɩɥɨɫɧɚɛɠɟɧɢɟ 7
Ⱦɨɛɵɜɚɸɳɚɹ
ɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɶ 13
Ɉɛɪɚɛɚɬɵɜɚɸɳɚɹ
ɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɶ 29
ɋɬɪɨɢɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɨ 1
ɋɟɥɶɫɤɨɟɯɨɡɹɣɫɬɜɨ 6
Ɍɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬ 8
ȼɨɞɨɫɧɚɛɠɟɧɢɟɢ
ɜɨɞɨɩɨɞɝɨɬɨɜɤɚ 1
ɋɮɟɪɚɭɫɥɭɝ 5
ɉɪɨɱɟɟ 1
ɀɢɥɢɳɧɵɣɫɟɤɬɨɪ 3
ɇɟɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɟ
ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ 1
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɄɥɢɦɚɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɬɪɚɠɟɧɫɩɨɦɨɳɶɸɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɹȽɋɈɉɈɧɜɥɢ
ɹɟɬɧɚɩɨɬɪɟɛɧɨɫɬɶɜɬɟɩɥɨɜɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɢɬɨɩɥɢɜɟɧɚɰɟɥɢɨɬɨɩɥɟɧɢɹɝɨɞ
ɛɵɥɛɨɥɟɟɬɟɩɥɵɦɱɟɦɝɨɞɩɨɷɬɨɦɭɩɪɢɩɪɨɱɢɯɪɚɜɧɵɯɭɫɥɨɜɢɹɯɫɧɢ
ɡɢɥɫɹ ɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɪɚɫɯɨɞ ɬɟɩɥɨɜɨɣ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɢ ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚ ɧɚ ɰɟɥɢ ɨɬɨɩɥɟɧɢɹ ɚ
ɬɚɤɠɟɫɭɦɦɚɪɧɵɣɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɶɭɞɟɥɶɧɨɝɨɪɚɫɯɨɞɚɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɇɨɷɬɨɧɟɨɡɧɚɱɚɟɬ
ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɟɟɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɹȾɥɹɛɨɥɟɟɩɨɥɧɨɝɨɨɬɪɚɠɟɧɢɹ
ɤɥɢɦɚɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɧɟɨɛɯɨɞɢɦɨɬɚɤɠɟɨɰɟɧɢɜɚɬɶɝɪɚɞɭɫɨɫɭɬɤɢɨɯɥɚɞɢ
ɬɟɥɶɧɨɝɨɩɟɪɢɨɞɚɨɞɧɚɤɨɪɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɚɹɫɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɤɚɩɨɤɚɧɟɩɨɡɜɨɥɹɟɬɜɵɹɜɢɬɶ
ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɧɚ ɰɟɥɢ ɤɨɧɞɢɰɢɨɧɢɪɨɜɚɧɢɹ Ɂɚɝɪɭɡɤɚ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɟɧ
ɧɵɯɦɨɳɧɨɫɬɟɣɬɚɤɠɟɜɥɢɹɟɬɧɚɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɪɚɫɯɨɞɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɉɪɢ
ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɢ ɡɚɝɪɭɡɤɢ ɦɨɳɧɨɫɬɢ ɩɪɟɞɩɪɢɹɬɢɹ ɭɫɥɨɜɧɨɩɨɫɬɨɹɧɧɵɟ ɪɚɫɯɨɞɵ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɧɚ ɧɭɠɞɵ ɨɫɜɟɳɟɧɢɹ ɢ ɨɬɨɩɥɟɧɢɹ ɰɟɯɨɜ ɫɨɯɪɚɧɹɸɬɫɹ ɧɚ ɩɪɟɠɧɟɦ
ɭɪɨɜɧɟɉɪɢɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɢɭɞɟɥɶɧɨɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɨɧɢɛɭɞɭɬɫɨɨɬɧɟ
ɫɟɧɵɫɦɟɧɶɲɢɦɨɛɴɟɦɨɦɜɵɩɭɫɤɚɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢɚɡɧɚɱɢɬɭɞɟɥɶɧɨɟɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟ
ɧɢɟ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɜɵɪɚɫɬɟɬ ɩɪɢ ɫɨɯɪɚɧɟɧɢɢ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɯ ɩɚɪɚɦɟɬɪɨɜ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɫɟɝɨɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɦɨɝɨɨɛɨɪɭɞɨɜɚɧɢɹɧɚɩɪɟɠɧɟɦɭɪɨɜɧɟ
Ȼɥɚɝɨɭɫɬɪɨɣɫɬɜɨɢɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɟɧɧɨɫɬɶ±ɷɬɨɬɮɚɤɬɨɪɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬɱɬɨɪɨɫɬɩɨɬɪɟ
ɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɡɚɫɱɟɬɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɛɥɚɝɨɭɫɬɪɨɣɫɬɜɚɠɢɥɶɹɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪɩɨɜɵ
ɲɟɧɢɟɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɰɟɧɬɪɚɥɢɡɨɜɚɧɧɵɦɬɟɩɥɨɫɧɚɛɠɟɧɢɟɦɢɥɢɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟ
ɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ ɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ ɛɵɬɨɜɵɦɢ ɩɪɢɛɨɪɚɦɢ ɧɟ ɫɥɟɞɭɟɬ ɪɚɫɫɦɚɬɪɢɜɚɬɶ
ɤɚɤɪɨɫɬɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢɍɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶɢɫɩɨɥɶ
ɡɭɟɦɵɯɬɨɩɥɢɜ±ɷɬɨɨɬɧɨɲɟɧɢɟɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɤɨɛɴɟɦɭɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɈɧɨɦɟɧɹɟɬɫɹɩɨɦɟɪɟɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɹɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɵɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɹɟɦɵɯɷɧɟɪɝɨ
ɧɨɫɢɬɟɥɟɣ ɤɨɬɨɪɵɟ ɢɦɟɸɬ ɪɚɡɧɭɸ ɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶ Ⱦɨɥɹ ɢɫɤɨɩɚɟɦɨɝɨ
ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɜɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɢɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɦɟɧɹɟɬɫɹɜɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢɨɬɩɪɨɰɟɫɫɨɜɷɥɟɤ
ɬɪɢɮɢɤɚɰɢɢɢɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɹɞɨɥɢɬɟɩɥɨɜɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɫɮɟɪɚɯɤɨɧɟɱɧɨɝɨɩɨɬɪɟ
ɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ȼɚɠɧɵɦɨɬɥɢɱɢɟɦɆɟɬɨɞɢɤɢ ɨɬɪɚɫɱɟɬɚɫɬɪɚɧɨɜɵɯɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɟɣɷɧɟɪɝɨ
ɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɦɨɣɆɗȺɢɞɪɭɝɢɦɢɚɧɚɥɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɦɢɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɚɦɢ
ɹɜɥɹɟɬɫɹɜɵɞɟɥɟɧɢɟɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɹɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɹɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɧɚɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ
ɧɭɠɞɵ±ɫɵɪɶɟɞɥɹɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚɯɢɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɢɞɪɭɝɨɣɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ
ɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɭɝɥɟɣɌɚɤɨɟɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɧɟɨɛɯɨɞɢɦɨɜɵɱɢɬɚɬɶɢɡɟɝɨɫɭɦ
ɦɚɪɧɨɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɩɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭɨɧɨɧɟɫɠɢɝɚɟɬɫɹɢɧɟɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɬɫɹɧɚɰɟɥɢ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɫɧɚɛɠɟɧɢɹɗɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹɤɚɤɬɪɚɞɢɰɢɨɧɧɵɦɦɟɬɨ
ɞɨɦɞɟɥɟɧɢɟɦɜɫɟɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɧɚȼȼɉɬɚɤɢɤɚɤɪɚɡ
ɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ ɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɢ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɹ ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚ ɧɚ
ɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟɧɭɠɞɵɞɟɥɟɧɧɚɹɧɚȼȼɉ
Ɇɚɬɟɦɚɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɚɩɩɚɪɚɬ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɨɜ ɩɨ ɦɟɬɨɞɭ /0', ɯɨɪɨɲɨ ɢɡɜɟɫɬɟɧ
ɫɦ$QJ&KRL$QJ&KRL$QJ&KRL%LQ$QJ&DKLOO
*DOODFKyLU.RLODNRXHWDO/HH.LPɚɨɫɨɛɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɟɝɨɩɪɢ
ɦɟɧɟɧɢɹ ɜ ɦɨɞɟɥɢ ɆɌɎɄɉȽ ɨɩɢɫɚɧɵ ɜ Ȼɚɲɦɚɤɨɜ Ɇɵɲɚɤ 
%DVKPDNRY 0\VKDN  %DVKPDNRY 0\VKDN  ɆɗɊ ɊɎ 
%DVKPDNRYHWDOD
ɂɧɮɨɪɦɚɰɢɨɧɧɨɣɛɚɡɨɣɆɌɎɄɉȽɹɜɥɹɸɬɫɹɞɚɧɧɵɟɮɨɪɦɫɬɚɬɢ
ɫɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɨɬɱɟɬɧɨɫɬɢɊɨɫɫɬɚɬɚ©ɇɚɬɭɪɚª©ɌȿɄª©Ɍȿɉª©ɜɨɞɨɩɪɨ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

ɜɨɞª ©ɤɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɰɢɹª ©ɌɗɊª ©Ɍɉª ɫ  ɝɨɞɚ ɚɧɚɥɨɝ ɷɬɨɣɮɨɪɦɵ
ɮɨɪɦɢɪɭɟɬɫɹ ɧɟ Ɋɨɫɫɬɚɬɨɦ ɚ Ɇɢɧɷɧɟɪɝɨ ©ɀɄɏª ©ɗɥɟɤɬɪɨɛɚɥɚɧɫª
ɛɚɥɚɧɫ ɩɪɨɞɭɤɬɨɜ ɩɟɪɟɪɚɛɨɬɤɢ ɧɚ ɨɛɨɝɚɬɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɯ ɮɚɛɪɢɤɚɯ ɢ ɭɫɬɚɧɨɜɤɚɯ
ɆɢɧɷɧɟɪɝɨɞɚɧɧɵɟɊɨɫɢɧɮɨɪɦɭɝɨɥɶɨɩɨɬɟɪɹɯɭɝɥɹɢɞɪȾɚɧɧɵɟɩɨȽɋɈɉɡɚ
ɝɨɞɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɵɢɡɚɪɯɢɜɨɜɫɚɣɬɚZZZUSUXɂɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɸɬɫɹɬɚɤɠɟɞɚɧɧɵɟ
Ɏɟɞɟɪɚɥɶɧɨɣ ɬɚɦɨɠɟɧɧɨɣ ɫɥɭɠɛɵ ɩɨ ɷɤɫɩɨɪɬɭ ɢ ɢɦɩɨɪɬɭ ɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɯ ɜɢɞɨɜ
ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɢɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɉɪɚɜɞɚɩɨɧɟɮɬɢɢɝɚɡɭɡɚɝɨɞɨɧɢɧɟɩɭɛɥɢɤɭɸɬɫɹ
ɩɨɷɬɨɦɭ ɞɚɧɧɵɟ ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɵ ɢɡ ɞɪɭɝɢɯ ɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɨɜ ɱɬɨ ɫɧɢɠɚɟɬ ɧɚɞɟɠɧɨɫɬɶ
ɨɰɟɧɤɢɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɇɚɨɫɧɨɜɟɜɫɟɯɷɬɢɯɞɚɧɧɵɯɮɨɪɦɢ
ɪɭɟɬɫɹ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɟɞɢɧɵɣ ɬɨɩɥɢɜɧɨɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɛɚɥɚɧɫ ȿɌɗȻ ɡɚ
 ɝɝ ɫ ɜɵɞɟɥɟɧɢɟɦ  ɷɧɟɪɝɨɧɨɫɢɬɟɥɟɣ ɚɝɪɟɝɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɵɯ ɜɫɟɦɶ
ɝɪɭɩɩɭɝɨɥɶɫɵɪɚɹɧɟɮɬɶɩɪɨɞɭɤɬɵɧɟɮɬɟɩɟɪɟɪɚɛɨɬɤɢɩɪɢɪɨɞɧɵɣɝɚɡɞɪɭ
ɝɢɟɜɢɞɵɬɜɟɪɞɨɝɨɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɹɢɬɟɩɥɨɤɨɬɨɪɵɟɡɚɬɟɦɫɭɦɦɢɪɭ
ɸɬɫɹɞɥɹɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɢɹɢɬɨɝɨɜȼȿɌɗȻɞɨɛɚɜɥɹɸɬɫɹɟɳɟɞɜɚɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɵɯ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɪɟɫɭɪɫɚ±ɚɬɨɦɧɚɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɹɢɜɨɡɨɛɧɨɜɥɹɟɦɚɹɜɤɥɸɱɚɹɝɢɞɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɸ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɹȼɫɹɷɬɚɢɧɮɨɪɦɚɰɢɹɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɢɪɭɟɬɫɹɩɨɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɦɢɩɨɜɢɞɚɦɞɟɹ
ɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɱɬɨ ɩɨɡɜɨɥɹɟɬ ɫɮɨɪɦɢɪɨɜɚɬɶ ɞɟɬɚɥɶɧɵɣ ȿɌɗȻ ɂɧɮɨɪɦɚɰɢɹ ɜ
ɤɚɠɞɨɣ ɹɱɟɣɤɟ ȿɌɗȻ ɧɚ ɥɸɛɨɦ ɷɬɚɩɟ ɨɛɪɚɛɨɬɤɢ ɞɚɧɧɵɯ ɩɨɥɧɨɫɬɶɸ ɩɪɨ
ɡɪɚɱɧɚ ɢ ©ɪɨɞɨɫɥɨɜɧɚɹª ɤɚɠɞɨɣ ɰɢɮɪɵ ɦɨɠɟɬ ɛɵɬɶ ɩɪɨɫɥɟɠɟɧɚ ɜɩɥɨɬɶ ɞɨ
ɢɫɯɨɞɧɵɯɫɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɯɞɚɧɧɵɯɩɪɟɞɨɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɧɵɯɊɨɫɫɬɚɬɨɦɢɥɢɞɪɭɝɢɦɢ
ɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɚɦɢ
ȼɚɠɧɵɦ ɩɪɟɢɦɭɳɟɫɬɜɨɦ ɆɌɎɄɉȽ ɩɨ ɫɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɸ ɫ ɡɚɪɭɛɟɠ
ɧɵɦɢɚɧɚɥɨɝɚɦɢ ɹɜɥɹɸɬɫɹɨɩɟɪɚɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɨɹɜɥɟɧɢɟɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɨɜɱɟɪɟɡ
ɦɟɫɹɰɟɜɩɨɫɥɟɨɤɨɧɱɚɧɢɹɤɚɥɟɧɞɚɪɧɨɝɨɝɨɞɚɜɵɫɨɤɢɣɭɪɨɜɟɧɶɞɟɬɚɥɢɡɚɰɢɢ
ɪɚɫɫɦɨɬɪɟɧɢɟ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɨɜ  ɜɢɞɨɜ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɢ  ɮɚɤɬɨ
ɪɨɜɩɨɥɧɨɟɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɢɟɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɢɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɸɳɟɝɨɟɣ
ɭɪɨɜɧɹ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɡɚ ɫɱɟɬ ɮɨɪɦɢɪɨɜɚɧɢɹ ȿɌɗȻ ɜ ɪɚɦɤɚɯ ɫɚɦɨɣ
ɦɨɞɟɥɢ ɆɌɎɄɉȽ ɜɨɡɦɨɠɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɨɥɭɱɚɬɶ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵ ɩɨ ɱɟɬɵɪɟɦ
ɦɟɬɪɢɤɚɦɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɢɩɨɲɟɫɬɢɦɟɬɪɢɤɚɦɨɰɟɧɤɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽ
ɜɤɥɸɱɚɹɭɬɟɱɤɢɢɪɚɫɱɟɬɵɤɚɤɩɨɩɪɹɦɵɦɬɚɤɢɩɨɫɭɦɦɟɩɪɹɦɵɯɢɤɨɫɜɟɧ
ɧɵɯɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽ
Ⱥɧɚɥɢɡɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉ
Ɋɨɫɫɬɚɬɫɨɨɛɳɢɥɨ ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɢɪɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɝɨȼȼɉ ɧɚ ɜ  ɝɨɞɭ
ɗɬɨ ɡɧɚɱɢɬɟɥɶɧɨ ɦɟɧɶɲɟ ɩɪɨɝɧɨɡɨɜ ɫɞɟɥɚɧɧɵɯ ɫɪɚɡɭ ɩɨɫɥɟ ɧɚɱɚɥɚ ɪɨɫɫɢɣ
ɫɤɨɣɨɩɟɪɚɰɢɢɜɍɤɪɚɢɧɟɤɨɬɨɪɵɟɜɚɪɶɢɪɨɜɚɥɢɜɞɢɚɩɚɡɨɧɟɨɬɞɨȼ
ɝɨɞɭɝɥɭɛɢɧɚɢɫɬɟɩɟɧɶɠɟɫɬɤɨɫɬɢɫɚɧɤɰɢɣɛɵɥɚɦɟɧɶɲɟɨɠɢɞɚɜɲɟɣɫɹɚ
ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɚ Ɋɨɫɫɢɢ ɩɪɨɞɟɦɨɧɫɬɪɢɪɨɜɚɥɚ ɛɨɥɶɲɢɣ ɱɟɦ ɨɠɢɞɚɥɨɫɶ ɭɪɨɜɟɧɶ
ɭɫɬɨɣɱɢɜɨɫɬɢɤɫɚɧɤɰɢɹɦɡɚɫɱɟɬɪɟɡɤɨɝɨɧɚɪɚɳɢɜɚɧɢɹɝɨɫɭɞɚɪɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯɪɚɫ
ɯɨɞɨɜ ȼ ɢɬɨɝɟ ɩɪɨɢɡɨɲɥɨ ɦɟɧɟɟ ɪɟɡɤɨɟ ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟ ɷɤɫɩɨɪɬɚ ɧɚɥɚɠɢɜɚɧɢɟ
ɩɚɪɚɥɥɟɥɶɧɨɝɨɢɦɩɨɪɬɚɩɪɢɭɦɟɪɟɧɧɨɦɢɦɩɨɪɬɨɡɚɦɟɳɟɧɢɢɧɚɮɨɧɟɪɟɡɤɨɝɨ
ɧɚɪɚɳɢɜɚɧɢɹɫɩɪɨɫɚɡɚɫɱɟɬɦɢɥɢɬɚɪɢɡɚɰɢɢɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɢɩɪɢɛɨɥɶɲɢɯɧɟɮɬɟɝɚ
ɡɨɜɵɯɞɨɯɨɞɚɯȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɉɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɝɨɞɭ
ɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɥɨɦɥɧɬɭɬɱɬɨɧɚɦɟɧɶɲɟɱɟɦɜɝɨɞɭɈɫɧɨɜɧɨɣɩɪɢ
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɱɢɧɨɣɟɝɨɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬɫɬɚɥɨɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɧɚɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɟ
ɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɧɭɠɞɵ ɧɚ  ɦɥɧ ɬɭɬ Ɂɚɪɭɛɟɠɧɵɟ ɫɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɢ
ɬɚɤɠɟɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɸɬɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɩɟɪɜɢɱɧɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɜ
ɝɨɞɭɈɞɧɚɤɨɨɧɢɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɪɚɫɯɨɞɹɬɫɹɜɨɰɟɧɤɟɝɥɭɛɢɧɵɷɬɨɝɨɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹ
ɨɬɞɨ(QHUGDWD(QHUJ\,QVWLWXWH
ȼɤɥɚɞ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɚ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɜ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɝɨɞɭɨɤɚɡɚɥɫɹɨɬɪɢɰɚɬɟɥɶɧɵɦɦɥɧɬɭɬɪɢɫȼɝɨɞɭ
ɜɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɟɩɪɨɢɡɨɲɥɢɡɚɦɟɬɧɵɟɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɟɫɞɜɢɝɢɗɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɚɹɚɤɬɢɜ
ɧɨɫɬɶ ɦɟɧɹɥɚɫɶ ɪɚɡɧɨɧɚɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɧɨ ɋɨɤɪɚɬɢɥɢɫɶ ɨɛɴɟɦɵ ɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɝɨ
ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚɢɧɞɟɤɫɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢɨɛɪɚɛɚɬɵɜɚɸɳɟɣɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧ
ɧɨɫɬɢ ɜɵɩɭɫɤ ɱɟɪɧɵɯ ɦɟɬɚɥɥɨɜ ɭɞɨɛɪɟɧɢɣ ɤɚɭɱɭɤɚ ɚɦɦɢɚɤɚ ɨɫɨɛɟɧɧɨ
ɪɟɡɤɨɭɩɚɥɢɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɧɵɯɫɪɟɞɫɬɜɪɚɛɨɬɚɬɪɭɛɨɩɪɨɜɨɞɧɨɝɨ ɢ
ɜɨɡɞɭɲɧɨɝɨɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɚɋɨɯɪɚɧɢɥɢɫɶɩɪɚɤɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɧɚɭɪɨɜɧɟɝɨɞɚɩɪɨ
ɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨɛɭɦɚɝɢɢɤɚɪɬɨɧɚɩɥɚɫɬɦɚɫɫɩɚɪɤɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɟɣɢɪɚɛɨɬɚɠɟɥɟɡɧɨ
ɞɨɪɨɠɧɨɝɨ ɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɚ ȼɵɪɨɫɥɢ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨ ɰɟɦɟɧɬɚ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨ ɜ
ɫɬɪɨɢɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɟɢɫɟɥɶɫɤɨɦɯɨɡɹɣɫɬɜɟɭɜɟɥɢɱɢɥɢɫɶɩɥɨɳɚɞɢɠɢɥɵɯɡɞɚɧɢɣɢ
ɡɞɚɧɢɣ ɫɮɟɪɵ ɭɫɥɭɝ Ɋɚɜɧɨɞɟɣɫɬɜɭɸɳɚɹ ɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɯ ɫɞɜɢɝɨɜ ɦɟɠɞɭ ɫɟɤɬɨ
ɪɚɦɢɫɬɢɦɭɥɢɪɨɜɚɥɚɪɨɫɬɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɚɜɧɭɬɪɢɫɟɤɬɨɪɧɵɟɫɞɜɢɝɢɜ
ɝɨɞɭɟɝɨɬɨɪɦɨɡɢɥɢɪɢɫ
ȼɝɨɞɭɡɚɫɱɟɬɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɩɪɢɪɨɫɬɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɥ ɩɨɱɬɢ  ɦɥɧ ɬɭɬ Ⱦɢɚɩɚɡɨɧ ɧɟɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ ɨɰɟɧɤɢ
ɜɤɥɚɞɚɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɥɨɬɦɥɧɬɭɬɞɨɦɥɧɬɭɬɈɧɜ
ɨɫɧɨɜɧɨɦɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɬɨɱɧɨɫɬɶɸ ɨɰɟɧɨɤɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɠɢɞɤɨɝɨɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɧɚ
ɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɶɧɨɦɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɟɢɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɜɬɨɪɝɨɜɥɟɉɪɢɚɥɶɬɟɪɧɚ
ɬɢɜɧɨɣɨɰɟɧɤɟɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɧɚɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɶɧɨɦɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɟɧɚɨɫɧɨɜɟ
ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢɩɚɪɤɚɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɟɣɩɨɥɭɱɚɟɬɫɹɱɬɨɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɬɨɪɦɨ
ɡɢɥ ɪɨɫɬ ɫɭɦɦɚɪɧɨɝɨ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɇɨ ɞɚɠɟ ɩɪɢ ɬɚɤɨɣ ɤɨɪɪɟɤɰɢɢ
ɨɰɟɧɤɢɜɤɥɚɞɚɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɧɚɪɟɡɤɢɟɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɹɜɫɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɱɟ
ɫɤɢɯɞɚɧɧɵɯɟɝɨɜɤɥɚɞɜɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɧɟɩɪɟɜɵɲɚɟɬɦɥɧ
ɬɭɬɜɝɨɞɭ
ȼ  ɝɨɞɚɯ ɜɫɟ ɦɨɞɢɮɢɤɚɰɢɢ ɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ȼȼɉ
Ɋɨɫɫɢɢ ɤɨɥɟɛɚɥɢɫɶ ɜɨɤɪɭɝɨɬɧɨɫɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɚɛɢɥɶɧɵɯɭɪɨɜɧɟɣ ɧɟ ɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɹ
ɜɵɪɚɠɟɧɧɨɣɬɟɧɞɟɧɰɢɢɧɢɤɪɨɫɬɭɧɢɤɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɸɪɢɫɗɬɨɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɪɟɡ
ɤɨɝɨ ɨɫɥɚɛɥɟɧɢɹ ɦɟɪ ɝɨɫɩɨɞɞɟɪɠɤɢ ɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɩɨ ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɸ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮ
ɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɩɨɫɥɟ  ɝɨɞɚ ȼɵɜɨɞ ɨ ɫɨɯɪɚɧɟɧɢɢ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ȼȼɉ
ɩɪɢɦɟɪɧɨɧɚɨɞɧɨɦɭɪɨɜɧɟɩɨɫɥɟɝɨɞɚɫɨɝɥɚɫɭɟɬɫɹɫɨɰɟɧɤɚɦɢɟɟɞɢɧɚ
ɦɢɤɢ ɜ ɡɚɪɭɛɟɠɧɵɯ ɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɚɯ ɩɪɢ ɧɟɤɨɬɨɪɨɦ ɪɚɡɛɪɨɫɟ ɫɚɦɢɯ ɨɰɟɧɨɤ
(QHUGDWD(QHUJ\,QVWLWXWH
ɗɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɡɚɜɵɱɟɬɨɦɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɯɧɭɠɞɹɜɥɹɟɬɫɹɨɫɧɨɜ
ɧɵɦɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɟɦ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɜɫɢɫɬɟɦɟ ɭɱɟɬɚɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɨ
ɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɊɨɫɫɢɢȼɝɨɞɭɨɧɚɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɥɚɬɭɬɦɥɧɪɭɛɜɰɟɧɚɯ
 ɝɨɞɚ ɱɬɨ ɬɨɥɶɤɨ ɧɚ  ɜɵɲɟ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ  ɝɨɞɚ ɧɨ ɧɚ  ɧɢɠɟ
ɭɪɨɜɧɹɬɪɚɞɢɰɢɨɧɧɨɜɵɱɢɫɥɹɟɦɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɇɟɛɨɥɶɲɨɟɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ȼȼɉ ɜ  ɝɨɞɭ ɩɪɨɢɡɨɲɥɨ ɡɚ ɫɱɟɬ ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ
ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚ ɧɚ ɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɧɭɠɞɵ ɜ ɫɜɹɡɢ ɫɨ ɫɠɚɬɢɟɦ ɜɧɟɲɧɢɯ ɪɵɧɤɨɜ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

ɫɛɵɬɚɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢɧɟɮɬɟɢɝɚɡɨɯɢɦɢɢɢɡɡɚɜɜɟɞɟɧɧɵɯɫɚɧɤɰɢɣɋɪɟɞɧɟɝɨɞɨ
ɜɵɟ ɬɟɦɩɵ ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ȼȼɉ ɛɟɡ ɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɯ ɧɭɠɞ ɜ
ɝɨɞɚɯɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɥɢɜɝɨɞȼɝɨɞɚɯɡɚɫɱɟɬɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢ
ɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉ ɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɥɨɬɨɥɶɤɨɉɪɢ
ɚɥɶɬɟɪɧɚɬɢɜɧɨɦ ɦɟɬɨɞɟ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɚ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ ɬɨɩɥɢɜɚ ɧɚ ɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɶɧɨɦ
ɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɟɷɬɚɨɰɟɧɤɚɩɨɜɵɲɚɟɬɫɹɞɨ
Ɋɢɫɭɧɨɤȼɤɥɚɞɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɜɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɝɨɞɚɯ
ɩɨ ɫɭɦɦɟ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɨɜ ɛɟɡ ɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɯ ɧɭɠɞ) (ɪɚɫɱɟɬɵ ɚɜɬɨɪɨɜ ɩɨ ɦɨɞɟɥɢ ɆɌɎɄ-16-80-ɉȽ
ɧɚ ɛɚɡɟ ɞɚɧɧɵɯ Ɋɨɫɫɬɚɬɚ
)LJXUH&RQWULEXWLRQVIURPLQGLYLGXDOVHFWRUVWRWKHHYROXWLRQRIHQHUJ\FRQVXPSWLRQLQ
sector totals, non-energy use excluded) (estimated by authors using the MTFC-16-80-GHG based on
Rosstat’s data
ɉɟɪɢɨɞ ȼɫɟɝɨ
ɗɤɨɧɨ
ɦɢɱɟɫ
ɤɚɹ
ɚɤɬɢɜ
ɧɨɫɬɶ
ɋɬɪɭɤ
ɬɭɪɚɧɚ
ɭɪɨɜɧɟ
ɫɟɤɬɨ
ɪɨɜ
ɋɬɪɭɤ
ɬɭɪɚɧɚ
ɭɪɨɜɧɟ
ɩɨɞɫɟɤ
ɬɨɪɨɜ
Ɍɟɯɧɨɥɨ
ɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪ
Ʉɥɢɦɚɬ
ȽɋɈɉ
Ɂɚɝɪɭɡ
ɤɚ
ɩɪɨɢɡ
ɜɨɞɫɬ
ɜɟɧɧɵɯ
ɦɨɳ
ɧɨɫɬɟɣ
Ȼɥɚɝɨ
ɭɫɬɪɨɣ
ɫɬɜɨɢ
ɨɛɟɫɩɟ
ɱɟɧ
ɧɨɫɬɶ
        
        
        
        
        
        
        
2022/2015 74 469 65 004 36 813 -3 503 -24 150 2 214 -2 694 785
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɊɢɫɭɧɨɤȾɢɧɚɦɢɤɚɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɊɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɣɎɟɞɟɪɚɰɢɢɜɝɨɞɚɯ
ɪɚɫɱɟɬɵ ɐɗɇɗɎ-XXI ɩɨ Ɇɟɬɨɞɢɤɟ ɆɗɊ ɧɚ ɛɚɡɟ ɞɚɧɧɵɯ Ɋɨɫɫɬɚɬɚ
)LJXUH(YROXWLRQRI*'3HQHUJ\LQWHQVLW\LQWKH5XVVLDQ)HGHUDWLRQLQ
estimated by CENEF-XXI based on Rosstat’s data using the MTFC-16-80-GHG
ȼɝɨɞɭɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɩɨɜɵɫɢɥɚɫɶɧɚɡɧɚɱɢɦɵɟɌɨɥɶɤɨ
ɨɞɢɧɢɡɬɪɟɯɢɧɞɢɤɚɬɨɪɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɟɪɚɫɯɨɞɵ
ɧɚɫɨɛɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɟɧɭɠɞɵɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɫɬɚɧɰɢɣɭɥɭɱɲɢɥɫɹɜɝɨɞɭɍɞɟɥɶɧɵɟɪɚɫ
ɯɨɞɵɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɍɊɍɌɧɚɜɵɪɚɛɨɬɤɭɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɵɪɨɫɥɢɚɞɨɥɹɩɨɬɟɪɶɜ
ɷɥɟɤɬɪɢɱɟɫɤɢɯɫɟɬɹɯɨɫɬɚɥɚɫɶɧɟɢɡɦɟɧɧɨɣȼɝɨɞɭɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤ
ɬɨɪɫɩɨɫɨɛɫɬɜɨɜɚɥɧɟɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɸɚɪɨɫɬɭɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɟ
ɬɢɤɟɩɨɱɬɢɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬɗɬɨɬɨɪɦɨɡɢɥɨɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉ
ɋɭɳɟɫɬɜɭɸɬɛɨɥɶɲɢɟɪɢɫɤɢɪɨɫɬɚɍɊɍɌɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɜɛɥɢɠɚɣɲɢɟɝɨɞɵ
ȼɨɫɧɨɜɧɨɦɡɚɫɱɟɬɛɨɥɟɟɬɟɩɥɨɣɩɨɝɨɞɵɜɝɩɨɬɪɟɛɧɨɫɬɢɜɩɟɪɜɢɱ
ɧɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɞɥɹɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚɬɟɩɥɨɜɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɫɧɢɡɢɥɢɫɶɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬȼ
ɝɨɞɭɞɜɚɢɡɬɪɟɯɨɫɧɨɜɧɵɯɢɧɞɢɤɚɬɨɪɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɬɟɩɥɨ
ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɟɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɟɪɚɫɯɨɞɵɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɧɚɤɨɬɟɥɶɧɵɯɢɧɚɌɗɋɭɥɭɱɲɢɥɢɫɶɚ
ɞɨɥɹɩɨɬɟɪɶɜɬɟɩɥɨɜɵɯ ɫɟɬɹɯɧɟɦɧɨɝɨɜɵɪɨɫɥɚ Ɍɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɜ
ɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ ɬɟɩɥɨɫɧɚɛɠɟɧɢɹ ɫɩɨɫɨɛɫɬɜɨɜɚɥ ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɸ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɜ
ɬɟɩɥɨɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɟɜɝɨɞɭɧɚɫɤɪɨɦɧɵɟɦɥɧɬɭɬ
ȼɝɨɞɭɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɟɪɚɫɯɨɞɵɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɧɚɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨɨɫɧɨɜɧɵɯɜɢɞɨɜ
ɞɨɛɵɜɚɟɦɨɝɨɢɩɟɪɟɪɚɛɚɬɵɜɚɟɦɨɝɨɫɵɪɶɹɢɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɢɡɦɟɧɹɥɢɫɶɪɚɡɧɨɧɚɩɪɚɜ
ɥɟɧɧɨɉɪɨɛɥɟɦɵɫɷɤɫɩɥɭɚɬɚɰɢɟɣɢɦɩɨɪɬɧɨɝɨɨɛɨɪɭɞɨɜɚɧɢɹɩɪɢɜɟɥɢɤɪɨɫɬɭ
ɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɪɚɫɯɨɞɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɢɥɢɤɛɨɥɟɟɦɟɞɥɟɧɧɨɦɭɢɯɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɸɊɚɜɧɨɞɟɣ
ɫɬɜɭɸɳɚɹɪɚɡɧɨɧɚɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɧɨɣɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɪɚɫɯɨɞɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɞɨɛɵ
ɜɚɸɳɟɣ ɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɥɚ ɱɬɨ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɮɚɤɬɨɪ ɜ 
ɝɨɞɭɩɨɡɜɨɥɢɥɫɧɢɡɢɬɶɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬ
Ɂɚɫɱɟɬɩɚɞɟɧɢɹɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɨɛɪɚɛɚɬɵɜɚɸɳɟɣɩɪɨɦɵɲ
ɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɜɝɨɞɭɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɫɧɢɡɢɥɨɫɶɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬɗɧɟɪɝɨ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

ɟɦɤɨɫɬɶɨɛɪɚɛɚɬɵɜɚɸɳɟɣɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɜɰɟɥɨɦɜɝɨɞɭɨɫɬɚɥɚɫɶ
ɧɟɢɡɦɟɧɧɨɣɚɩɪɢɤɨɪɪɟɤɰɢɢɧɚɤɥɢɦɚɬɢɡɚɝɪɭɡɤɭɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯɦɨɳɧɨ
ɫɬɟɣ±ɜɵɪɨɫɥɚɧɚȼɬɨɪɨɣɪɚɡɫɝɨɞɚɛɚɥɚɧɫɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɢɫɧɢɠɟ
ɧɢɹɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɪɚɫɯɨɞɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɧɚɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɜɢɞɨɜɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢ
ɨɛɪɚɛɚɬɵɜɚɸɳɟɣɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ ɩɪɢɜɟɥɤɬɨɦɭ ɱɬɨɡɚ ɫɱɟɬɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟ
ɫɤɨɝɨ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɚ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɜ ɨɛɪɚɛɚɬɵɜɚɸɳɟɣ ɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ
ɜɵɪɨɫɥɨɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬȼɝɨɞɭɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɟɪɚɫɯɨɞɵɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɫɨɤɪɚɬɢɥɢɫɶɜ
ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɟɱɭɝɭɧɚɰɢɤɥɢɱɟɫɤɢɯɭɝɥɟɜɨɞɨɪɨɞɨɜɞɪɟɜɟɫɧɨɜɨɥɨɤɧɢɫɬɵɯɩɥɢɬ
ɤɚɭɱɭɤɨɜɫɢɧɬɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɯɧɨɜɵɪɨɫɥɢɩɪɢɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɟɫɬɚɥɢɚɦɦɢɚɤɚɫɢɧɬɟɬɢ
ɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɭɞɨɛɪɟɧɢɣɚɡɨɬɧɵɯɰɟɥɥɸɥɨɡɵɤɥɢɧɤɟɪɨɜɰɟɦɟɧɬɧɵɯɢɤɢɪɩɢɱɚɫɬɪɨ
ɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɋɚɧɤɰɢɢ ɬɨɪɦɨɡɹɬ ɩɪɨɰɟɫɫɵ ɦɨɞɟɪɧɢɡɚɰɢɢ ɨɛɪɚɛɚɬɵɜɚɸɳɟɣ
ɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɱɬɨɩɪɟɩɹɬɫɬɜɭɟɬɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɸɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɪɚɫɯɨɞɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɁɚ
ɫɱɟɬɪɨɫɬɚɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɫɟɥɶɫɤɨɦɯɨɡɹɣɫɬɜɟɜɝɨɞɭɩɨɬɪɟ
ɛɥɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɵɪɨɫɥɨɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬɌɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɜɝɨɞɭ
ɫɩɨɫɨɛɫɬɜɨɜɚɥɩɟɪɟɪɚɫɯɨɞɭɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɫɟɥɶɫɤɨɦɯɨɡɹɣɫɬɜɟɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬ
ȼɝɨɞɭɨɛɴɟɦɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɧɨɣɪɚɛɨɬɵɭɩɚɥɧɚɱɬɨɜɵɡɜɚɥɨɫɧɢ
ɠɟɧɢɟɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɡɚɫɱɟɬɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬɌɟɯɧɨ
ɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɜɝɨɞɭɞɟɣɫɬɜɨɜɚɥɜɫɬɨɪɨɧɭɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɩɨɬɪɟɛɧɨɫɬɢ
ɜɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬɍɞɟɥɶɧɵɟɪɚɫɯɨɞɵɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɝɨɞɭɫɧɢɠɚɥɢɫɶ
ɧɚ ɝɚɡɨɩɪɨɜɨɞɧɨɦ ɧɟɮɬɟɩɪɨɜɨɞɧɨɦɢ ɝɨɪɨɞɫɤɨɦ ɷɥɟɤɬɪɢɱɟɫɤɨɦ ɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɟ
ɉɪɢɱɢɧɚɪɟɡɤɨɝɨɪɨɫɬɚɜɤɥɚɞɚɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɝɨɞɭɫɜɹɡɚɧɚ
ɫɨɬɪɚɠɟɧɢɟɦɜɫɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɤɟɡɚɦɟɬɧɨɝɨɪɨɫɬɚɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɠɢɞɤɨɝɨɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɧɚ
ɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɶɧɨɦɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɟȻɟɡɷɬɨɝɨɨɧɛɵɥɛɵɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬɧɢɠɟɬɨɟɫɬɶ
ɨɬɪɢɰɚɬɟɥɶɧɵɦ
Ɂɚɫɱɟɬɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɹɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɫɮɟɪɟɡɚɛɨɪɚɨɱɢɫɬɤɢɢ
ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹɜɨɞɵɫɛɨɪɚɢɨɛɪɚɛɨɬɤɢɫɬɨɱɧɵɯɜɨɞɫɛɨɪɚɨɛɪɚɛɨɬɤɢɢɭɬɢ
ɥɢɡɚɰɢɢɨɬɯɨɞɨɜɤɨɦɦɭɧɚɥɶɧɨɛɵɬɨɜɨɟɯɨɡɹɣɫɬɜɨɨɛɴɟɦɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪ
ɝɢɢ ɜ  ɝɨɞɭ ɜɵɪɨɫ ɧɚ  ɦɥɧ ɬɭɬ ɚ ɜ ɫɬɪɨɢɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɟ ɡɚɮɢɤɫɢɪɨɜɚɧɨ
ɫɨɤɪɚɳɟɧɢɟ ɧɚ  ɦɥɧ ɬɭɬ Ɂɚ ɫɱɟɬ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɝɨɞɭ
ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɫɮɟɪɟɭɫɥɭɝɭɜɟɥɢɱɢɥɨɫɶɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬȻɸɞɠɟɬɨɮɢ
ɧɚɧɫɢɪɭɟɦɵɟ ɨɪɝɚɧɢɡɚɰɢɢ ɩɨɤɚɡɚɥɢ ɪɚɡɧɵɣ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬ ɦɟɪɵ ɩɨɥɢɬɢɤɢ ɩɨ
ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɸ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɛɸɞɠɟɬɧɵɯ ɨɪɝɚɧɢɡɚɰɢɣ ɜ 
ɝɨɞɚɯɧɟɩɨɡɜɨɥɢɥɢɩɨɥɭɱɢɬɶɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɸɜɫɮɟɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɧɢɹɩɟɪɟɪɚɫɯɨɞɧɚ
ɦɥɧɬɭɬɧɨɞɚɥɢɧɟɛɨɥɶɲɭɸɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɸɦɥɧɬɭɬɜɫɮɟɪɟɡɞɪɚɜɨɨɯɪɚɧɟ
ɧɢɹɍɫɬɨɣɱɢɜɨɭɜɟɥɢɱɢɜɚɥɢɫɶɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɟɪɚɫɯɨɞɵɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɬɨɪɝɨɜɥɟɢɩɪɨɱɟɣ
ɫɮɟɪɟɭɫɥɭɝɜɤɨɬɨɪɭɸɜɯɨɞɹɬɞɨɫɬɚɜɤɚɭɫɥɭɝɢɫɜɹɡɢɢɧɬɟɪɧɟɬɚɢɞɪ
Ɉɫɧɨɜɧɵɦɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɦɪɨɫɬɚɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɠɢɥɢɳɧɨɦɫɟɤɬɨɪɟɜ
 ɝɨɞɭ ɫɬɚɥ ɩɪɢɪɨɫɬ ɩɥɨɳɚɞɢ ɠɢɥɨɝɨ ɮɨɧɞɚ  ɦɥɧ ɬɭɬ ɚ ɨɫɧɨɜɧɵɦ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɦ ɬɨɪɦɨɡɹɳɢɦ ɪɨɫɬ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹ ± ɮɚɤɬɨɪ ɤɥɢɦɚɬɚ  ɦɥɧ ɬɭɬ
ɋɬɪɨɢɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɨɧɨɜɵɯɛɨɥɟɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɵɯɡɞɚɧɢɣɢɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟɬɟɩɥɨ
ɡɚɳɢɬɵɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɭɸɳɢɯɪɨɫɬɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɵɯɫɢɫɬɟɦɝɨɪɹ
ɱɟɝɨ ɜɨɞɨɫɧɚɛɠɟɧɢɹ Ƚȼɋ ɢ ɛɵɬɨɜɵɯ ɩɪɢɛɨɪɨɜ ɩɨɡɜɨɥɢɥɢ ɫɧɢɡɢɬɶ
ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɠɢɥɢɳɧɨɦɫɟɤɬɨɪɟɡɚɫɱɟɬɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜ
ɝɨɞɭɧɚɦɥɧɬɭɬɉɪɨɝɪɟɫɫɜɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɢɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹ
ɩɪɢɛɨɪɚɦɢ ɭɱɟɬɚ ɜ  ɝɨɞɭ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨ ɡɚɦɟɞɥɢɥɫɹ ɨɞɧɚɤɨ ɭɥɭɱɲɚɟɬɫɹ
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɫɢɬɭɚɰɢɹɫɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɟɧɧɨɫɬɶɸ©ɭɦɧɵɦɢªɩɪɢɛɨɪɚɦɢɭɱɟɬɚɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ɯɨɬɹɬɟɦɩɵɨɬɫɬɚɸɬɨɬɡɚɞɚɧɧɵɯɉɪɚɜɢɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɨɦȼɰɟɥɨɦɩɪɨɰɟɫɫɵɩɨɜɵ
ɲɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɠɢɥɢɳɧɨɦɫɟɤɬɨɪɟɢɞɭɬɦɟɞɥɟɧɧɨɢɜɤɥɚɞɬɟɯ
ɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɩɨɫɥɟɝɨɞɚɧɢɪɚɡɭɧɟɩɪɟɜɵɲɚɥɦɥɧɬɭɬɗɬɨ
ɩɪɢɬɨɦɱɬɨɩɨɬɟɧɰɢɚɥɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɢɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɩɪɢɞɨɜɟɞɟɧɢɢɩɨɢɬɨɝɚɦɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮ
ɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɝɨ ɤɚɩɢɬɚɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɪɟɦɨɧɬɚ ɭɞɟɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɪɚɫɯɨɞɚ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɞɨ ɛɚɡɨɜɨɝɨ
ɭɪɨɜɧɹɦɨɠɟɬɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɬɶɚɩɪɢɞɨɜɟɞɟɧɢɢɭɞɟɥɶɧɨɝɨɪɚɫɯɨɞɚɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ɞɨɭɪɨɜɧɹɡɞɚɧɢɹɤɥɚɫɫɚȺɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɹɦɨɠɟɬɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɬɶɉɨɬɟɧɰɢɚɥ
ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɢɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɧɚɧɭɠɞɵȽȼɋɪɚɜɟɧɈɞɧɚɤɨɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɧɟɬɞɟɣɫɬɜɭɸ
ɳɢɯɞɨɤɭɦɟɧɬɨɜɮɟɞɟɪɚɥɶɧɨɝɨɭɪɨɜɧɹɜɤɨɬɨɪɵɯɛɵɥɢɛɵɭɫɬɚɧɨɜɥɟɧɵɰɟɥɢ
ɩɨ ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɸ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɩɪɢ ɤɚɩɢɬɚɥɶɧɨɦ ɪɟɦɨɧɬɟ ɦɧɨɝɨɤɜɚɪ
ɬɢɪɧɵɯɞɨɦɨɜɆɄȾɢɥɢɰɟɥɟɜɵɟɨɛɴɟɦɵɨɯɜɚɬɚɆɄȾɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɵɦ
ɤɚɩɢɬɚɥɶɧɵɦɪɟɦɨɧɬɨɦȾɟɣɫɬɜɭɸɳɢɟɞɨɤɭɦɟɧɬɵɢɩɪɨɟɤɬɵɧɨɜɵɯɩɨɞɜɟɪɝɚ
ɸɬɫɹɠɟɫɬɤɨɣɤɪɢɬɢɤɟȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȻɨɪɢɫɨɜ
Ⱥɧɚɥɢɡ ɜɥɢɹɧɢɹ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢ ɰɟɧ ɧɚ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɸ ɢ ɧɚ ɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɶ ɟɟ
ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɹɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɩɪɚɤɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɧɟɩɪɨɜɨɞɢɬɫɹɉɚɞɟɧɢɟɪɟɚɥɶɧɵɯɫɤɨɪ
ɪɟɤɬɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɵɯɧɚɢɧɮɥɹɰɢɸɰɟɧɧɚɷɧɟɪɝɢɸɞɥɹɪɚɡɧɵɯɜɢɞɨɜɜɵɩɭɫɤɚɟɦɨɣ
ɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɣɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢɜɝɨɞɚɯɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɥɨɱɬɨɡɚɦɟɬɧɨ
ɨɝɪɚɧɢɱɢɜɚɥɨɜɤɥɚɞɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜ
ɧɨɫɬɢ ɜ ɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ ɉɪɢ ɞɨɩɭɳɟɧɢɢ ɱɬɨ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɷɥɚɫɬɢɱɧɨɫɬɢ
ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɩɨɰɟɧɟɪɚɜɟɧɬɨɥɶɤɨɩɨɥɭɱɚɟɬɫɹɱɬɨɡɚɷɬɢɝɨɞɵ
ɧɟɞɨɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɨɨɬɜɨɡɦɨɠɧɨɝɨɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɷɬɢɯ
ɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɯȼɨɬɥɢɱɢɟɨɬɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɨɬɧɨɫɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɟɰɟɧɵɧɚɷɧɟɪɝɢɸɧɚ
ɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɟ ɢɦɟɥɢ ɨɛɳɭɸ ɬɟɧɞɟɧɰɢɸ ɤ ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɸ ɱɬɨ ɫɬɢɦɭɥɢɪɨɜɚɥɨ
ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟɜɤɥɚɞɚɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɷɬɨɦɫɟɤɬɨɪɟȾɢɧɚɦɢɤɚɰɟɧ
ɧɚɷɧɟɪɝɢɸɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɦɭɸɧɚɛɵɬɨɜɵɟɧɭɠɞɵɧɚɫɟɥɟɧɢɹɬɚɤɠɟɫɬɢɦɭɥɢɪɨ
ɜɚɥɚɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
ȼɵɜɨɞ ɨ ɬɨɦ ɱɬɨɊɨɫɫɢɹ ɹɜɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɨɞɧɨɣ ɢɡɫɚɦɵɯ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɢɯ ɫɬɪɚɧ
ɦɢɪɚɨɫɬɚɟɬɫɹɜɟɪɧɵɦȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼɝɨɞɭɊɨɫɫɢɹɩɨɭɪɨɜɧɸɩɪɨ
ɢɡɜɨɞɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɜɟɥɢɱɢɧɚ ɨɛɪɚɬɧɚɹ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ɡɚɧɹɥɚ ɟ
ɦɟɫɬɨɢɡɫɬɪɚɧɁɚɊɨɫɫɢɟɣɫɥɟɞɭɸɬɬɨɥɶɤɨɋɟɜɟɪɧɚɹɄɨɪɟɹɂɪɚɧɄɭɜɟɣɬ
ȻɭɬɚɧȻɚɯɪɟɣɧȼɟɧɟɫɭɷɥɚɢɌɭɪɤɦɟɧɢɫɬɚɧ(,$ȼɝɨɞɭɷɧɟɪɝɨ
ɟɦɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɊɨɫɫɢɢɛɵɥɚɫɚɦɨɣɜɵɫɨɤɨɣɫɪɟɞɢɫɬɪɚɧ*Ɋɨɫɫɢɹɩɨɭɪɨɜɧɸ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɧɚɯɨɞɢɥɚɫɶɧɚɦɦɟɫɬɟɢɡɤɪɭɩɧɟɣɲɢɯɩɨɬɪɟɛɢɬɟ
ɥɟɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɜɦɢɪɟɪɢɫ
Ɇɟɫɬɶ ɩɪɨɢɝɧɨɪɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɨɝɨ ɩɪɢɨɪɢɬɟɬɚ ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɩɨɥɢɬɢɤɢ Ɋɨɫ
ɫɢɢɜɝɨɞɭɞɚɠɟɩɪɢɪɚɫɱɟɬɟɩɨɩɚɪɢɬɟɬɭɩɨɤɭɩɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɣɫɩɨɫɨɛɧɨɫɬɢ
ɉɉɋɪɚɡɪɵɜɵɜɭɪɨɜɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɧɟɩɪɨɫɬɨɨɫɬɚɥɢɫɶɡɧɚɱɢɬɟɥɶ
ɧɵɦɢ ɧɨ ɞɚɠɟ ɜɵɪɨɫɥɢ ɞɨ  ɪɚɡɚ ɩɨ ɫɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɸ ɫ Ʉɚɧɚɞɨɣ  ɪɚɡɚ±ɫ
Ʉɢɬɚɟɦɩɨɱɬɢɞɨɪɚɡɩɨɫɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɸɫɦɢɪɨɦɜɰɟɥɨɦɪɚɡɚ±ɫɋɒȺ
ɪɚɡɚ±ɫəɩɨɧɢɟɣɢɞɨɪɚɡɚ±ɫȿɋȼɝɨɞɭɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɊɨɫɫɢɢ
ɜɵɪɨɫɥɚɧɚɮɨɧɟɟɟɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹɜɦɢɪɟɜɰɟɥɨɦɧɚɚɜȿɋ±ɧɚȼ
ɝɨɞɚɯɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɜɫɪɟɞɧɟɦɪɨɫɥɚɧɚȼȿɋ
ɫɪɟɞɧɟɝɨɞɨɜɵɟɬɟɦɩɵɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɥɢɜɋɒȺ
ɢɌɭɪɰɢɢ±ɜɄɢɬɚɟ±ɜȼɟɥɢɤɨɛɪɢɬɚɧɢɢ±ɜɇɢɞɟɪɥɚɧɞɚɯ±
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

(QHUGDWDȼɝɨɞɭɹɟɠɟɝɨɞɧɚɹɝɥɨɛɚɥɶɧɚɹɤɨɧɮɟɪɟɧɰɢɹɩɨ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɩɪɢɡɜɚɥɚɫɧɢɠɚɬɶɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɛɨɥɟɟɱɟɦɧɚ
ɜɝɨɞɞɨɝ,($
Ɋɢɫɭɧɨɤɋɨɩɨɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɢɟɫɬɪɚɧɨɫɧɨɜɧɵɯɩɨɬɪɟɛɢɬɟɥɟɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɩɨɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉ
ɩɨɉɉɋɜɝɨɞɭ
ɩɨɫɬɪɨɟɧɨ ɚɜɬɨɪɚɦɢ ɧɚ ɨɫɧɨɜɟ ɞɚɧɧɵɯ: Enerdata. 2023
World Energy & Climate Statistics – Yearbook 2023
)LJXUH&RPSDULVRQRIPDMRUHQHUJ\FRQVXPLQJFRXQWULHVE\*'3HQHUJ\LQWHQVLW\DW333
LQSULFHV
Developed by authors based on data from:Enerdata. 2023. World Energy& Climate Statistics –
Yearbook 2023
Ɋɨɫɫɢɹ ɩɪɨɢɝɪɚɥɚ ɝɨɧɤɭ ɡɚ ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɉɨɫɥɟ
ɩɪɨɜɟɞɟɧɢɹɪɵɧɨɱɧɵɯɪɟɮɨɪɦɊɨɫɫɢɹɭɥɭɱɲɢɥɚɫɜɨɣɪɟɣɬɢɧɝɩɨɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮ
ɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɝɨɞɚɯɈɞɧɚɤɨɩɨɫɥɟɝɨɞɚɩɪɢɜɨɡɜɪɚɬɟɤɞɨɦɢ
ɧɢɪɨɜɚɧɢɸɝɨɫɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɜɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɟɢɨɫɨɛɟɧɧɨɩɨɫɥɟɝɨɞɚɤɨɝɞɚ ɛɵɥɚ
ɫɜɟɪɧɭɬɚɝɨɫɩɨɞɞɟɪɠɤɚɩɪɨɝɪɚɦɦɩɨɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɸɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɫɟ
ɷɬɢɞɨɫɬɢɠɟɧɢɹɛɵɥɢɭɬɟɪɹɧɵɉɨɫɥɟɞɧɹɹɬɪɟɬɶɜɟɤɚɤɨɬɨɪɭɸɦɨɠɧɨɛɵɥɨ
ɛɵɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɬɶɞɥɹɫɨɤɪɚɳɟɧɢɹɪɚɡɪɵɜɚɜɭɪɨɜɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɩɪɨ
ɫɬɨɩɨɬɟɪɹɧɚɇɢɤɚɤɨɝɨɩɪɨɝɪɟɫɫɚɜɪɟɣɬɢɧɝɟɩɨɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɡɚ
ɝɨɞɚɊɨɫɫɢɹɧɟɞɨɫɬɢɝɥɚɋɜɟɪɬɵɜɚɧɢɟɩɪɨɝɪɚɦɦɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜ
ɧɨɫɬɢ ɩɨɫɥɟ  ɝɨɞɚ ɩɪɢɜɟɥɨ ɤ ɛɵɫɬɪɨɦɭ ɜɨɫɫɬɚɧɨɜɥɟɧɢɸ ɪɚɡɪɵɜɨɜ ɜ
ɭɪɨɜɧɟ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ȼȼɉ ɫ ɞɪɭɝɢɦɢ ɫɬɪɚɧɚɦɢ ɤɨɬɨɪɵɟ ɩɪɟɜɵɫɢɥɢ ɧɟ
ɬɨɥɶɤɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ ɫɨɜɟɬɫɤɨɣ ɷɩɨɯɢ  ɝ ɧɨ ɢ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ ɨɬɦɟɱɟɧɧɵɟ ɞɥɹ
ɫɚɦɵɯɧɢɡɤɢɯɭɪɨɜɧɟɣɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɯ
Ɋɚɡɪɵɜɵɜɭɪɨɜɧɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢɜɨɫɧɨɜɧɨɦɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɸɬɫɹɛɨɥɟɟɧɢɡ
ɤɢɦɭɪɨɜɧɟɦɪɚɡɜɢɬɢɹɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɢɊɨɫɫɢɢɩɨɭɪɨɜɧɸȼȼɉɧɚɞɭɲɭɧɚɫɟɥɟ
ɧɢɹɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɵɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɢɢɩɨɭɪɨɜɧɸɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɦɵɯɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɣɚɬɚɤɠɟ
ɧɢɡɤɢɦɢ ɢ ɩɚɞɚɸɳɢɦɢ ɪɟɚɥɶɧɵɦɢ ɫɤɨɪɪɟɤɬɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɵɦɢ ɧɚ ɢɧɮɥɹɰɢɸ
ɰɟɧɚɦɢɧɚɷɧɟɪɝɢɸɜɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɇɢɡɤɢɟɰɟɧɵɧɚɷɧɟɪɝɢɸɬɚɤɠɟɜɥɢ
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɹɸɬɧɚɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɭɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɢɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɹɪɨɥɶɊɨɫɫɢɢɜɦɟɠɞɭɧɚɪɨɞɧɨɦɪɚɡɞɟ
ɥɟɧɢɢ ɬɪɭɞɚ ɫɨ ɫɩɟɰɢɚɥɢɡɚɰɢɟɣ ɧɚ ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɟ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɢɯ ɫɵɪɶɟɜɵɯ
ɬɨɜɚɪɨɜɦɟɬɚɥɥɨɜɯɢɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢɫɬɪɨɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɯ ɦɚɬɟɪɢɚɥɨɜɈɧɢ
ɧɟɫɬɢɦɭɥɢɪɭɸɬɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɭɸɦɨɞɟɪɧɢɡɚɰɢɸȼɢɬɨɝɟɫɬɪɚɧɵɫɛɨɥɟɟ
ɧɢɡɤɢɦɢ ɰɟɧɚɦɢ ɧɚ ɷɧɟɪɝɢɸ ɧɟ ɢɦɟɸɬ ɤɨɧɤɭɪɟɧɬɧɵɯ ɩɪɟɢɦɭɳɟɫɬɜ
ɩɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭɭɧɢɯɜɵɲɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɚɞɨɥɹɪɚɫɯɨɞɨɜɧɚɷɧɟɪɝɢɸɜȼȼɉ
ɧɟɧɢɠɟɚɞɚɠɟɜɵɲɟɱɟɦɜɫɬɪɚɧɚɯɫɛɨɥɟɟɜɵɫɨɤɢɦɢɰɟɧɚɦɢɧɚɷɧɟɪɝɢɸ
Ɂɚɦɟɬɧɨɦɟɧɶɲɟɟɜɥɢɹɧɢɟɧɚɪɚɡɪɵɜɜɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɫɞɪɭɝɢɦɢɫɬɪɚ
ɧɚɦɢ±ɜɩɪɟɞɟɥɚɯ±ɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɸɬɪɚɡɧɢɰɚɜɤɥɢɦɚɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɯɭɫɥɨɜɢɹɯɪɚɡ
ɦɟɪ ɬɟɪɪɢɬɨɪɢɢ ɫɬɪɚɧɵ ɢ ɧɚɥɢɱɢɟ ɡɚɩɚɫɨɜ ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɯ ɪɟɫɭɪɫɨɜ
%DVKPDNRYHWDOE%DVKPDNRYȼɵɫɨɤɚɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶɞɥɹɊɨɫ
ɫɢɢɢɨɬɫɭɬɫɬɜɢɟɩɪɨɝɪɟɫɫɚɜɟɟɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɢɜɫɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɢɫɞɪɭɝɢɦɢɫɬɪɚɧɚɦɢ
ɹɜɥɹɸɬɫɹɟɫɬɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɦɢɬɨɝɨɦɤɪɚɣɧɟɧɢɡɤɨɝɨɩɪɢɨɪɢɬɟɬɚɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪ
ɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɢɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɩɨɥɢɬɢɤɟɊɨɫɫɢɢɩɨɫɥɟ
ɝɨɞɚȼɫɢɫɬɟɦɟɪɟɣɬɢɧɝɚ$&(((ɩɨɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜɫɮɟɪɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤ
ɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɡɚɝɨɞɊɨɫɫɢɹɡɚɧɹɥɚɟɦɟɫɬɨɢɡɫɬɪɚɧɧɚɛɪɚɜɜɫɭɦɦɟ
ɬɨɥɶɤɨɛɚɥɥɨɜɢɡɜɨɡɦɨɠɧɵɯɩɪɨɬɢɜɛɚɥɥɨɜɭɎɪɚɧɰɢɢɦɟɫɬɨ
ɢɥɢɛɚɥɥɨɜɭɄɢɬɚɹɦɟɫɬɨɁɚɊɨɫɫɢɟɣɨɤɚɡɚɥɢɫɶɬɨɥɶɤɨɋɚɭɞɨɜɫɤɚɹ
ȺɪɚɜɢɹɘȺɊɢɈȺɗ6XEUDPDQLDQHWDO
ȼɵɫɨɤɚɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶɬɨɪɦɨɡɢɬɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɪɨɫɬȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜ
Ⱦɥɹ ɥɢɤɜɢɞɚɰɢɢ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨ ɪɚɡɪɵɜɚ ɜ ɭɪɨɜɧɹɯ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ȼȼɉ
ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɤɨɧɤɭɪɟɧɬɨɫɩɨɫɨɛɧɨɫɬɢɪɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɝɨɛɢɡɧɟɫɚɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹɧɚɝɪɭɡɤɢ
ɧɚɨɤɪɭɠɚɸɳɭɸɫɪɟɞɭɢɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɟɧɢɹɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɞɨɫɬɭɩɧɨɫɬɢ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɞɥɹ ɪɚɡɧɵɯ ɝɪɭɩɩ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɢɬɟɥɟɣ ɢ ɪɟɲɟɧɢɹ ɡɚɞɚɱɢ ɞɟɤɚɪɛɨɧɢɡɚɰɢɢ
Ɋɨɫɫɢɢɧɟɨɛɯɨɞɢɦɨɩɪɟɞɩɪɢɧɹɬɶɭɫɢɥɢɹɞɥɹɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɜ
ɞɜɚɪɚɡɚ
ȺɧɚɥɢɡɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚª
Ɇɨɞɟɥɶ ɆɌɎɄɉȽ ɨɰɟɧɢɜɚɟɬ ɜɥɢɹɧɢɟ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜ ɧɚ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɨɬɫɟɤɬɨɪɚ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªɊɨɫɫɢɢɜɲɟɫɬɢɪɟɠɢɦɚɯɤɨɦɛɢɧɚɰɢɢ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɋɈɢɥɢɬɪɟɯɉȽɋɈɋɇɢ1Ɉɫɜɤɥɸɱɟɧɢɟɦɢɥɢɢɫɤɥɸɱɟɧɢɟɦ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɨɬɭɬɟɱɟɤɢɩɪɢɪɚɫɱɟɬɟɩɨɩɪɹɦɵɦɜɵɛɪɨɫɚɦɢɥɢɫɪɚɡɧɟɫɟɧɢɟɦ
ɤɨɫɜɟɧɧɵɯ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽ ɩɨ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɦ ɝɞɟ ɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɹɸɬɫɹ ɷɥɟɤɬɪɢɱɟɫɤɚɹ ɢ
ɬɟɩɥɨɜɚɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɹ±ɫɦɚɤɫɢɦɚɥɶɧɵɦɱɢɫɥɨɦɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɞɥɹɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɢɜɰɟɥɨɦ
ɪɚɜɧɵɦȽɥɚɜɧɚɹɡɚɞɚɱɚɦɨɞɟɥɢ±ɨɰɟɧɢɬɶɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɡɚɫɱɟɬ
ɜɤɥɚɞɚɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɨɛɭɫɥɨɜɢɜɲɟɝɨɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɸɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɋɪɚɜɧɟ
ɧɢɟɨɰɟɧɤɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªɩɨɦɨɞɟɥɢɆɌɎɄɉȽ
ɫɞɚɧɧɵɦɢɇɚɰɢɨɧɚɥɶɧɨɣɢɧɜɟɧɬɚɪɢɡɚɰɢɢɇɚɰɢɨɧɚɥɶɧɵɣɞɨɤɥɚɞ«ɡɚ
 ɝɨɞɵ ɞɚɟɬ ɛɥɢɡɤɢɟ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵ ɫ ɭɱɟɬɨɦ ɦɟɧɶɲɟɝɨ ɩɟɪɟɱɧɹ ɉȽ ɜ
ɆɌɎɄɉȽɬɨɥɶɤɨɋɈɋɇɢ12ɪɚɫɯɨɠɞɟɧɢɹɢɬɨɝɨɜɵɯɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɣɧɟ
ɩɪɟɜɵɲɚɸɬ
ȼ Ɋɨɫɫɢɢ ɫɭɩɟɪɤɚɩɥɢɧɝ ± ɩɪɚɤɬɢɱɟɫɤɢ ɩɨɥɧɨɟ ɫɨɜɩɚɞɟɧɢɟ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɹ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽ ɫ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɦ ȼȼɉ ɜ  ɝɨɞɚɯ ± ɫɦɟɧɢɥɫɹ ©ɨɛɪɚɬɧɵɦ
ɞɟɤɚɩɥɢɧɝɨɦªɜɝɨɞɭ±ɪɨɫɬɨɦɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɩɪɢɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɢȼȼɉɪɢɫ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

ɉɨɨɰɟɧɤɟɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽɨɬɫɟɤɬɨɪɚ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªɜɝɨɞɭɜɵɪɨɫɥɢɧɚ
ɧɟɫɦɨɬɪɹɧɚɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟȼȼɉɧɚȼɊɨɫɫɢɢɜɩɟɪɜɵɟɫɝɨɞɚɩɚɞɟɧɢɟ
ȼȼɉɫɨɩɪɨɜɨɠɞɚɥɨɫɶɧɟɩɚɞɟɧɢɟɦɚɪɨɫɬɨɦɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟ
ɬɢɤɚªɋɢɥɶɧɵɣ©ɤɚɩɥɢɧɝªɯɫɦɟɧɢɥɫɹɨɱɟɧɶɫɥɚɛɵɦɩɨɫɥɟɝȺɜ
ɝɝɝɝɝɝɝɢɝɩɪɨɹɜɥɹɥɫɹɞɟɤɚɩɥɢɧɝ
ɊɢɫɭɧɨɤȾɢɧɚɦɢɤɚɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªɢȼȼɉɜɝɝ
(ɩɨɫɬɪɨɟɧɨ ɚɜɬɨɪɚɦɢ ɩɨ ɞɚɧɧɵɦ Ɋɨɫɫɬɚɬɚ (ȼȼɉ),
ɇɚɰɢɨɧɚɥɶɧɵɣ ɞɨɤɥɚɞ ɨ ɤɚɞɚɫɬɪɟ ɚɧɬɪɨɩɨɝɟɧɧɵɯ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɢɡ ɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɨɜ ɢ ɚɛɫɨɪɛɰɢɢ
ɩɨɝɥɨɬɢɬɟɥɹɦɢ ɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯ ɝɚɡɨɜ, ɧɟ ɪɟɝɭɥɢɪɭɟɦɵɯ Ɇɨɧɪɟɚɥɶɫɤɢɦ ɩɪɨɬɨɤɨɥɨɦ,
ɡɚ 1990-2021 ɝɝ. ɢ ɨɰɟɧɤɢ ɚɜɬɨɪɨɜ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽɜ 2022 ɝ.)
)LJXUH(YROXWLRQRIHQHUJ\UHODWHG*+*HPLVVLRQDQG*'3LQ
(developed by authors based on data from: Rosstat (GDP),
National Inventory Report of anthropogenic emissions from sources and removals by sinks of
greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol for 1990-2021; and authors’ estimates of
GHG emission in 2022 based on the MTFC-16-80-GHG)
ȼɝɨɞɭɪɨɫɬɝɥɨɛɚɥɶɧɵɯɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɬɚɤɠɟɧɟɭɞɚɥɨɫɶɨɫɬɚɧɨɜɢɬɶ
ɉɨɨɰɟɧɤɟ,($ɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽɨɬɫɟɤɬɨɪɚ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªɢɨɬɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧ
ɧɵɯɩɪɨɰɟɫɫɨɜɜɵɪɨɫɥɢɧɚɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɢɞɨɫɬɢɝɥɢɪɟɤɨɪɞ
ɧɨɝɨ ɡɚ ɜɫɸ ɢɫɬɨɪɢɸ ɱɟɥɨɜɟɱɟɫɬɜɚ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ  ɦɥɪɞ ɬ ɋɈɷɤɜ ȼ Ɋɨɫɫɢɢ
ɫɭɦɦɚɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɨɬɷɬɢɯɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɨɜɜɝɨɞɭɫɨɫɬɚɜɢɥɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜ
ɝɥɨɛɚɥɶɧɨɣɷɦɢɫɫɢɢɧɨɜɵɪɨɫɥɚɧɟɦɧɨɝɨɦɟɞɥɟɧɧɟɟ±ɧɚ
ɉɨɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɦɜɢɞɚɦɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽɢɡɦɟɧɹ
ɥɢɫɶɞɨɜɨɥɶɧɨɧɟɪɚɜɧɨɦɟɪɧɨɫɭɱɟɬɨɦɭɬɟɱɟɤɩɪɢɨɰɟɧɤɟɩɨɩɪɹɦɵɦɢɤɨɫ
ɜɟɧɧɵɦɜɵɛɪɨɫɚɦɢɜɲɢɪɨɤɢɯɞɢɚɩɚɡɨɧɚɯɨɬɩɚɞɟɧɢɹɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜ
ɧɚɝɚɡɨɩɪɨɜɨɞɧɨɦɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɟɞɨɪɨɫɬɚɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɧɚɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɶ
ɧɨɦɊɨɫɬɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɛɵɥɡɚɮɢɤɫɢɪɨɜɚɧɩɨɜɢɞɚɦɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɚɤɬɢɜ
ɧɨɫɬɢɢɡ
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ȼɤɥɚɞɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɛɨɥɟɟɚɞɟɤɜɚɬɧɨɨɬɪɚɠɚɟɬɪɚɫɱɟɬɩɨɩɪɹ
ɦɵɦɢɤɨɫɜɟɧɧɵɦɜɵɛɪɨɫɚɦɉȽȼɷɬɨɦɫɥɭɱɚɟɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽɨɬɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚɢ
ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹɷɥɟɤɬɪɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɢɬɟɩɥɨɜɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɪɚɡɧɨɫɹɬɫɹɩɨɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɦɝɞɟ
ɷɬɢɷɧɟɪɝɨɧɨɫɢɬɟɥɢɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɸɬɫɹɱɬɨɩɨɡɜɨɥɹɟɬɭɱɟɫɬɶɷɮɮɟɤɬɵɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹ
ɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɢɯɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɹɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɯɤɨɧɟɱɧɨɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ɉɪɢ ɬɚɤɨɦ ɦɟɬɨɞɟ ɨɰɟɧɤɢ ɩɨɥɭɱɚɟɬɫɹ ɱɬɨ ɡɚ ɫɱɟɬ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨ ɤɪɢɡɢɫɚ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽɜɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢɨɬɨɯɜɚɬɚɢɯɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɨɜɫɧɢɡɢɥɢɫɶɧɚɦɥɧɬ
ɋɈɷɤɜɬɚɛɥɄɪɢɡɢɫɝɨɞɚɫɨɩɪɨɜɨɠɞɚɥɫɹɡɚɦɟɬɧɵɦɢɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɦɢ
ɫɞɜɢɝɚɦɢ ɜ ɩɨɥɶɡɭ ɛɨɥɟɟ ɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɢɯ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɨɜ ɱɬɨ ɫɩɨɫɨɛɫɬɜɨɜɚɥɨ ɪɨɫɬɭ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɋɈɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɚɬɪɟɯɉȽ±ɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜȼɧɭɬɪɢ
ɫɟɤɬɨɪɨɜ ɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɚ ɬɚɤɠɟ ɦɟɧɹɥɚɫɶ ɧɨ ɭɠɟ ɜ ɩɨɥɶɡɭ ɦɟɧɟɟ ɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɢɯ
ɜɢɞɨɜɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɗɬɨɫɩɨɫɨɛɫɬɜɨɜɚɥɨɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɸɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ
ɋɈɧɚɦɥɧɬɚɉȽ±ɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɌɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɜ
ɝɨɞɭɧɟɫɞɟɪɠɢɜɚɥɪɨɫɬɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɁɚɫɱɟɬɧɟɝɨɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɋɈɜɵɪɨɫɥɢɧɚ
ɦɥɧɬɋɈɚɩɨɬɪɟɦɉȽ±ɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɎɚɤɬɨɪɵɡɚɝɪɭɡɤɢɩɪɨɢɡ
ɜɨɞɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯɦɨɳɧɨɫɬɟɣɢɪɨɫɬɚɛɥɚɝɨɭɫɬɪɨɣɫɬɜɚɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɢɥɢɩɪɢɪɨɫɬɜɵɛɪɨ
ɫɨɜɧɚɭɪɨɜɧɟɨɤɨɥɨɦɥɧɬɋɈ
ɷɤɜ ɤɚɠɞɵɣ Ɏɚɤɬɨɪ ɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ɩɪɢ
ɪɚɫɱɟɬɟ ɩɨ ɜɫɟɦ ɉȽ ɫ ɭɱɟɬɨɦ ɭɬɟɱɟɤ ɞɚɥ ɪɨɫɬ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽ ɧɚ  ɦɥɧ ɬ
ɋɈɷɤɜɜɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢɨɬɨɯɜɚɬɚɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɨɜɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ
ɌɚɛɥɢɰɚȼɤɥɚɞɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɜɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɬɪɟɯɉȽɨɬɫɟɤɬɨɪɚ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªɫɭɱɟɬɨɦ
ɭɬɟɱɟɤɢɩɪɢɪɚɡɧɟɫɟɧɢɢɤɨɫɜɟɧɧɵɯɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɩɨɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɦɤɨɧɟɱɧɨɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ɜɝɝ
(Ɋɚɫɱɟɬɵ ɚɜɬɨɪɨɜ ɧɚ ɦɨɞɟɥɢ ɆɌɎɄ-16-80-ɉȽ)
7DEOH&RQWULEXWLRQIURPLQGLYLGXDOIDFWRUVWRWKHHYROXWLRQRIWKUHHHQHUJ\UHODWHG*+*VHPLVVLRQ
ZLWKDQDFFRXQWRIIXJLWLYHDQGLQGLUHFWHPLVVLRQVDOORFDWHGWRHQGXVHVHFWRUVLQ
(Authors’ estimates using MTFC-16-80-GHG model)
ɩɪɢɪɚɡɧɟɫɟɧɢɢɤɨɫɜɟɧɧɵɯɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɩɨɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɦɤɨɧɟɱɧɨɝɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɷɬɨɬ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɹɟɦɨɣɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ɜɫɟɝɨɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽ
ɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶ
ɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
ɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɚɧɚ
ɭɪɨɜɧɟɫɟɤɬɨɪɨɜ
ɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɚɧɚ
ɭɪɨɜɧɟɩɨɞɫɟɤɬɨ
ɪɨɜ
ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɚɹ
ɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɶ
ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ
ɮɚɤɬɨɪ
ɤɥɢɦɚɬ
ɡɚɝɪɭɡɤɚɉɆ
ɛɥɚɝɨɭɫɬɪɨɣɫɬɜɨɢ
ɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɟɧɧɨɫɬɶ
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

ȼɝɨɞɚɯɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɟɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɋɈɩɪɢɜɵɪɚɛɨɬɤɟɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪ
ɝɢɢɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɜɵɪɨɫɥɢɧɚɋɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɩɚɪɚɦɟɬɪɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɜ
ɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɟɜɝɨɞɭɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɢɥɨɜɤɥɚɞɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜ
ɩɪɢɪɨɫɬɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɪɚɡɦɟɪɟɦɥɧ ɬ ɋɈɷɤɜɩɪɢɨɰɟɧɤɟɩɨɩɪɹɦɵɦ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɚɦɉȽȼɦɟɠɞɭɧɚɪɨɞɧɨɦɪɟɣɬɢɧɝɟɩɨɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɦɜɵɛɪɨɫɚɦɋɈɩɪɢ
ɜɵɪɚɛɨɬɤɟ ɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ ɜ  ɝɨɞɭ Ɋɨɫɫɢɹ ɧɚɯɨɞɢɬɫɹ ɧɟ ɜ ɥɢɞɟɪɚɯ ɤɚɤ
ɧɟɤɨɬɨɪɵɟɩɨɥɚɝɚɸɬɚɜɫɟɪɟɞɢɧɟɫɩɢɫɤɚ±ɧɚɦɦɟɫɬɟɢɡɫɬɪɚɧɩɨɤɨɬɨ
ɪɵɦɟɫɬɶɞɚɧɧɵɟɪɢɫ
ɊɢɫɭɧɨɤɊɟɣɬɢɧɝɫɬɪɚɧɩɨɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɦɜɵɛɪɨɫɚɦɋɈɩɪɢɜɵɪɚɛɨɬɤɟɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ
(Our World in DataCarbon intensity of electricity, 2022 (our world in data.org) ɩɨ ɞɚɧɧɵɦ Ember;
Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy (2023) ɢ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɵ ɚɜɬɨɪɨɜ ɧɚ ɦɨɞɟɥɢ ɆɌɎɄ-
16-80-ɉȽ)
)LJXUH5DWLQJRIFRXQWULHVE\VSHFLILF&2HPLVVLRQVIURPHOHFWULFLW\JHQHUDWLRQ
(Our World in Data Carbon intensity of electricity, 2022 (our world in data.org) based on data from:
Ember; Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy (2023); and the authors’ estimates using
the MTFC-16-80-GHG model)
ȼ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ ɬɟɩɥɨɫɧɚɛɠɟɧɢɹ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɮɚɤɬɨɪ ɩɨɡɜɨɥɢɥ ɫɧɢɡɢɬɶ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽɩɨɱɬɢɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈ
ɷɤɜ ɫ ɭɱɟɬɨɦ ɤɨɫɜɟɧɧɵɯ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ȼ
ɞɨɛɵɜɚɸɳɟɣɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɡɚɫɱɟɬɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨ
ɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɵ ɉȽ ɫɧɢɡɢɥɢɫɶ ɜ  ɝɨɞɭ ɧɚ  ɦɥɧ ɬ ɋɈɷɤɜ
Ȼɚɥɚɧɫɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɢɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹɭɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɪɚɫɯɨɞɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɧɚɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɨ
ɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɯɜɢɞɨɜɩɪɨɞɭɤɰɢɢɨɛɪɚɛɚɬɵɜɚɸɳɟɣɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɜɝɨɞɭ
ɩɪɢɜɟɥɤɪɨɫɬɭɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɡɚɫɱɟɬɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɧɚ ɦɥɧ ɬ
ɋɈɷɤɜɌɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɜɝɨɞɭɫɩɨɫɨɛɫɬɜɨɜɚɥɞɨɩɨɥɧɢɬɟɥɶ
ɧɨɦɭɪɨɫɬɭɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɫɟɥɶɫɤɨɦɯɨɡɹɣɫɬɜɟɧɨɬɨɥɶɤɨɧɚɬɵɫɬɋɈɷɤɜ
ȼɫɬɪɨɢɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɟɫɭɦɦɚɩɪɹɦɵɯɢɤɨɫɜɟɧɧɵɯɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɝɨɞɭɫɧɢɡɢ
ɥɚɫɶ ɧɚ  ɦɥɧ ɬ ɋɈɷɤɜȼɜɨɞɨɫɧɚɛɠɟɧɢɢɢɜɨɞɨɨɬɜɟɞɟɧɢɢɞɨɦɢɧɢɪɭɟɬ
ɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɷɧɟɪɝɢɹɩɨɷɬɨɦɭɬɚɦɜ ɨɫɧɨɜɧɨɦɮɨɪɦɢɪɭɸɬɫɹɤɨɫɜɟɧɧɵɟɜɵɛɪɨɫɵ
ɉȽ ɉɪɢ ɪɨɫɬɟ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɮɚɤɬɨɪ ɧɟ ɫɞɟɪɠɢɜɚɥɪɨɫɬ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɢɨɧɢɜɵɪɨɫɥɢɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜ
Ɉɰɟɧɤɚ ɜɤɥɚɞɚ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɚ ɧɚ ɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɟ ɜ  ɝɨɞɭ
ɡɚɜɢɫɢɬɨɬɬɨɱɧɨɫɬɢɞɚɧɧɵɯɩɨɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɸɠɢɞɤɨɝɨɬɨɩɥɢɜɚɧɚɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɶ
ɧɨɦɬɪɚɧɫɩɨɪɬɟɉɪɢɪɚɫɱɟɬɚɯɧɚɨɫɧɨɜɟɞɚɧɧɵɯɊɨɫɫɬɚɬɚɩɨɥɭɱɚɟɬɫɹɱɬɨɡɚ
ɫɱɟɬɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɜɵɪɨɫɥɢɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɚɩɪɢ
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɪɚɫɱɟɬɟɩɨɩɚɪɤɭɚɜɬɨɦɨɛɢɥɟɣ±ɫɧɢɡɢɥɢɫɶɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɌɚɤɢɦɨɛɪɚ
ɡɨɦɞɢɚɩɚɡɨɧɧɟɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɧɨɫɬɢɪɚɜɟɧɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜ
ȼɝɨɞɭɜɤɥɚɞɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɫɮɟɪɟɭɫɥɭɝɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɢɥ
ɩɪɢɪɨɫɬɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɩɨɱɬɢɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɚɜɠɢɥɢɳɧɨɦɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ±ɢɯ
ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜȼɝɨɞɭɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɨɬɩɪɨɦɵɲɥɟɧɧɵɯɩɪɨɰɟɫ
ɫɨɜɭɩɚɥɢɧɚ ɦɥɧ ɬɋɈɷɤɜɜɨɫɧɨɜɧɨɦɡɚɫɱɟɬɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɚ
ɬɚɤɢɯɩɪɨɞɭɤɬɨɜɤɚɤɚɦɦɢɚɤɫɬɚɥɶɱɭɝɭɧɚɝɥɨɦɟɪɚɬɢɨɤɚɬɵɲɢ
ȿɫɥɢɪɚɫɲɢɪɢɬɶɜɪɟɦɟɧɧɨɣɝɨɪɢɡɨɧɬɚɧɚɥɢɡɚɬɨɜɝɨɞɚɯɬɟɯɧɨ
ɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɫɬɚɥɜɟɫɨɦɵɦɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɦɫɞɟɪɠɢɜɚɧɢɹɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɬɚɛɥ
ɢ ɪɢɫ  ɉɪɢ ɭɱɟɬɟ ɤɨɫɜɟɧɧɵɯ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɉȽ ɟɝɨ ɜɤɥɚɞ ɜ ɬɨɪɦɨɠɟɧɢɟ ɪɨɫɬɚ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢɨɬɦɟɬɪɢɤɢ
ɨɰɟɧɤɢ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɫɨɫɬɚɜɥɹɟɬ 
ɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɇɨɨɧɧɟɫɦɨɝɤɨɦɩɟɧɫɢɪɨɜɚɬɶɜɷɬɢɝɨɞɵɞɚɠɟɩɨɥɨɜɢɧɭɜɤɥɚɞɚ
ɩɨɪɨɠɞɟɧɧɨɝɨɪɨɫɬɨɦɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ±ɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜȾɥɹ
ɜɫɟɯɦɟɬɪɢɤɦɟɠɫɟɤɬɨɪɧɵɟɫɞɜɢɝɢɛɵɥɢɜɩɨɥɶɡɭɛɨɥɟɟɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɢɯɫɟɤɬɨ
ɪɨɜɚɜɧɭɬɪɢɫɟɤɬɨɪɧɵɟ±ɜɩɨɥɶɡɭɦɟɧɟɟɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɢɯɜɢɞɨɜɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɱɬɨ
ɩɪɢɜɟɥɨɤɪɨɫɬɭɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɡɚɫɱɟɬɩɟɪɜɵɯɢɤɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɸ
ɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜ±ɡɚɫɱɟɬɜɬɨɪɵɯɄɥɢɦɚɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɝɪɭɞɭɫɨɫɭɬɤɢ
ɨɬɨɩɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɝɨɩɟɪɢɨɞɚȽɋɈɉɨɛɭɫɥɨɜɢɥɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɧɚɦɥɧɬ
ɋɈɷɤɜȼɝɨɞɚɯɷɬɨɬɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɥɩɪɢɪɨɫɬɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɬɨɥɶɤɨ
ɧɚɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɎɚɤɬɨɪɵɡɚɝɪɭɡɤɢɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯɦɨɳɧɨɫɬɟɣɢɛɥɚɝɨɭ
ɫɬɪɨɣɫɬɜɚɫɪɚɜɧɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɦɚɥɨɩɨɜɥɢɹɥɢɧɚɢɬɨɝɢɝɚɜɝɝɩɟɪ
ɜɵɣɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɛɟɫɩɟɱɢɥɜɤɥɚɞɜɬɨɪɦɨɠɟɧɢɟɪɨɫɬɚɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɧɚɭɪɨɜɧɟ
ɫɤɪɨɦɧɵɯɦɥɧɬɋɈɷɤɜɚɜɬɨɪɨɣ±ɬɨɥɶɤɨɧɚɬɵɫɬɋɈɷɤɜ
ɊɢɫɭɧɨɤɈɰɟɧɤɚɜɤɥɚɞɨɜɪɚɡɥɢɱɧɵɯɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜɜɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɨɬɫɟɤɬɨɪɚ
©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªɜɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɨɫɬɢɨɬɨɯɜɚɬɚɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɨɜɷɦɢɫɫɢɢɜɝɨɞɚɯ
ɪɚɫɱɟɬɵ ɚɜɬɨɪɨɜ ɧɚ ɦɨɞɟɥɢ ɆɌɎɄ-16-80-ɉȽ
)LJXUH(VWLPDWHGFRQWULEXWLRQVIURPLQGLYLGXDOIDFWRUVWRWKHHYROXWLRQRIHQHUJ\UHODWHG*+*
HPLVVLRQVEDVHGRQWKHVFRSHRIHPLVVLRQVVRXUFHVLQ
(estimated by authors using the MTFC-16-80-GHG model)
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

ɇɚɬɪɚɟɤɬɨɪɢɢɞɟɤɚɪɛɨɧɢɡɚɰɢɢɊɨɫɫɢɹɬɨɩɱɟɬɫɹɧɚɦɟɫɬɟ%DVKPDNRY
HWDOȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɢɞɪȼɝɨɞɚɯɧɟɛɵɥɨɩɪɨɝɪɟɫɫɚɜ
ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɢɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɊɨɫɫɢɢɜɱɚɫɬɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɨɬɫɟɤɬɨɪɚ©ɷɧɟɪ
ɝɟɬɢɤɚªɪɢɫ
ɊɢɫɭɧɨɤȾɢɧɚɦɢɤɚɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɟɣɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɜɝɨɞɚɯ
(ɪɚɫɱɟɬɵ ɚɜɬɨɪɨɜ ɧɚ ɦɨɞɟɥɢ ɆɌɎɄ-16-80-ɉȽ)
)LJXUH(YROXWLRQRI*'3FDUERQLQWHQVLW\LQ
(estimated by authors using the MTFC-16-80-GHG model)
ȼɫɬɪɚɧɚɯɆɗȺɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣɮɚɤɬɨɪ±ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜ
ɧɨɫɬɢɡɚɫɱɟɬɜɧɟɞɪɟɧɢɹɧɨɜɵɯɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɣ±ɹɜɥɹɟɬɫɹɜɚɠɧɟɣɲɢɦɞɪɚɣɜɟɪɨɦ
ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɜɨɜɫɟɯɫɟɤɬɨɪɚɯȼȿɋɨɫɧɨɜɧɵɦɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɦɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɹ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɧɚɜɝɫɬɚɥɨɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢȼȼɉɧɚȼ
ɝɝɜɨɦɧɨɝɢɯɫɬɪɚɧɚɯɆɗȺɮɚɤɬɨɪɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨ
ɫɬɢɫɬɚɥɞɨɩɨɥɧɹɬɶɫɹɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɦɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɡɚɫɱɟɬɪɨɫɬɚɞɨɥɢ
ɧɟɬɨɩɥɢɜɧɵɯɢɫɬɨɱɧɢɤɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɢɢ,($ȼɨɬɥɢɱɢɟɨɬɦɨɞɟɥɢɆɌɎɄ
ɉȽ ɜ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɟ ɞɟɤɨɦɩɨɡɢɰɢɨɧɧɨɝɨ ɚɧɚɥɢɡɚ ɆɗȺ ɧɟ ɜɵɞɟɥɹɸɬɫɹɮɚɤ
ɬɨɪɵɤɥɢɦɚɬɚɢɡɚɝɪɭɡɤɢɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯɦɨɳɧɨɫɬɟɣɩɨɷɬɨɦɭɝɟɧɟɪɢɪɭɟ
ɦɵɟ ɟɸ ɨɰɟɧɤɢ ɜɤɥɚɞɚ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɚ ɩɨɥɭɱɚɸɬɫɹ ɧɟɫɤɨɥɶɤɨ
ɢɫɤɚɠɟɧɧɵɦɢ
ɉɪɨɛɥɟɦɚɞɨɫɬɢɠɢɦɨɫɬɢɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣɧɟɣɬɪɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ
ɤɝɨɞɭ
Ɉɰɟɧɤɚ ɞɨɫɬɢɠɢɦɨɫɬɢ ɰɟɥɢ ɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣ ɧɟɣɬɪɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɫɞɟɥɚɧɧɚɹ
ɐɗɇɗɎ;;,ɜɝɨɞɭȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜEȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜE%DVKPDNRYHW
DOEɨɫɬɚɟɬɫɹɩɨɤɚɟɞɢɧɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɦɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɧɢɟɦɜɤɨɬɨɪɨɦɩɪɨɬɟɫɬɢ
ɪɨɜɚɧɚ ɜɨɡɦɨɠɧɨɫɬɶ ɞɨɫɬɢɠɟɧɢɹ Ɋɨɫɫɢɟɣ ɡɚɹɜɥɟɧɧɨɣ ɰɟɥɢ ɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣ ɧɟɣ
ɬɪɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɤ  ɝɨɞɭ Ɉɞɧɚɤɨ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɟ ɨɰɟɧɨɤ ɪɚɡɜɢɬɢɹ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɢ ɢ
ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɝɨɞɭɩɪɢɜɟɥɨɤɬɨɦɭɱɬɨɮɨɪɦɚɬɪɚɟɤɬɨɪɢɣ
ɞɜɢɠɟɧɢɹ ɤ ɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣ ɧɟɣɬɪɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɞɨ  ɝɨɞɚ ɧɟɫɤɨɥɶɤɨ ɢɡɦɟɧɢɥɚɫɶ
ɪɢɫȼɫɪɟɞɧɟɫɪɨɱɧɨɣɩɟɪɫɩɟɤɬɢɜɟɨɝɪɚɧɢɱɟɧɧɵɣɞɨɫɬɭɩɤɧɢɡɤɨɭɝɥɟɪɨɞ
ɧɵɦɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɹɦɛɭɞɟɬɬɨɪɦɨɡɢɬɶɢɯɜɧɟɞɪɟɧɢɟɢɬɟɦɫɚɦɵɦɩɨɞɞɟɪɠɢɜɚɬɶ
ɜɵɛɪɨɫɵɉȽɧɚɛɨɥɟɟɜɵɫɨɤɨɦɭɪɨɜɧɟȾɨɫɬɢɠɟɧɢɟɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣɧɟɣɬɪɚɥɶɧɨ
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɫɬɢ ɤ ɝɨɞɭ ɜɫɟ ɟɳɟ ɜɨɡɦɨɠɧɨ ɨɞɧɚɤɨ ɨɠɢɞɚɟɦɵɟ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɵ ɨɬ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɚ
©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚªɜɝɨɞɭɩɪɟɜɵɫɹɬɩɨɤɚɡɚɬɟɥɶɫɰɟɧɚɪɢɹ4D %DVKPDNRYHWDO
E ɩɪɢɦɟɪɧɨ ɧɚ  ɦɥɧ ɬ&2ɷɤɜ ɂɦɟɧɧɨ ɫɬɨɥɶɤɨ ɞɨɩɨɥɧɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɯ
ɫɬɨɤɨɜɜ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɟɁɂɁɅɏɩɨ ɫɪɚɜɧɟɧɢɸ ɫɭɪɨɜɧɹɦɢ ɨɰɟɧɟɧɧɵɦɢ ɜ ɝ
%DVKPDNRYHWDOEɛɭɞɟɬɧɟɨɛɯɨɞɢɦɨɞɨɛɚɜɢɬɶɞɥɹɞɨɫɬɢɠɟɧɢɹɭɝɥɟɪɨɞ
ɧɨɣɧɟɣɬɪɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɤɝɨɞɭ%DVKPDNRYHWDODɈɞɧɚɤɨɧɭɠɧɨɢɦɟɬɶ
ɜɜɢɞɭɱɬɨɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɫɬɨɤɚɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟɁɂɁɅɏ±ɷɬɨɭɫɬɨɣɱɢɜɚɹɬɟɧɞɟɧɰɢɹ
ɤɨɬɨɪɚɹɜɝɨɞɭɟɳɟɭɫɤɨɪɢɥɚɫɶɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟɧɚɦɥɧɬ&2
ɷɤɜɄɪɨɦɟ
ɬɨɝɨ ɭɫɢɥɢɹ ɩɨ ɜɨɫɫɬɚɧɨɜɥɟɧɢɸ ɥɟɫɨɜ ɩɪɢɧɨɫɹɬ ɦɟɧɶɲɢɣ ɱɟɦ ɨɠɢɞɚɟɬɫɹ
ɷɮɮɟɤɬ:HVWHWDOɞɟɥɚɹɧɚɞɟɠɞɵɧɚɷɬɨɬɫɟɤɬɨɪɤɚɤɧɚɩɚɧɚɰɟɸɜɫɟ
ɛɨɥɟɟɡɵɛɤɢɦɢ
ɊɢɫɭɧɨɤȾɢɧɚɦɢɤɚɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɜɫɟɤɬɨɪɟɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɢȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜD
)LJXUH(YROXWLRQRIHQHUJ\UHODWHG*+*HPLVVLRQV%DVKPDNRYD
ȼɚɠɧɟɣɲɟɟɭɫɥɨɜɢɟɛɵɫɬɪɨɝɨɫɨɤɪɚɳɟɧɢɹɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽ±ɧɚɥɢɱɢɟɧɢɡ
ɤɨɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɵɯɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɣɨɬɟɱɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯɢɥɢɢɦɩɨɪɬɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɵɯɢɡɫɬɪɚɧɧɟ
ɧɚɥɨɠɢɜɲɢɯɢɥɢɫɧɹɜɲɢɯɫɚɧɤɰɢɢɧɚɩɨɫɬɚɜɤɢɬɚɤɢɯɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɣɜɊɨɫɫɢɸ
ȼɚɠɧɨɩɨɧɹɬɶɤɚɤɨɜɨɧɵɧɟɲɧɟɟɩɨɥɨɠɟɧɢɟɜɟɳɟɣɫɞɨɫɬɭɩɨɦɤɧɢɡɤɨɭɝɥɟ
ɪɨɞɧɵɦɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɹɦɜɊɨɫɫɢɢɢɤɚɤɨɧɨɦɨɠɟɬɢɡɦɟɧɢɬɶɫɹɜɩɟɪɫɩɟɤɬɢɜɟɇɨ
ɷɬɨɭɠɟɡɚɞɚɱɚɞɥɹɞɪɭɝɨɝɨɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɧɢɹȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɢɞɪ
Ɂɚɤɥɸɱɟɧɢɟ
ȼɊɨɫɫɢɢɧɚɩɪɨɬɹɠɟɧɢɢɭɠɟɪɹɞɚɥɟɬɫɝɨɞɚɭɫɩɟɲɧɨɪɚɛɨɬɚɟɬ
ɫɨɡɞɚɧɧɚɹɩɨ ɢɧɢɰɢɚɬɢɜɟɆɗɊ ɊɎɧɨɜɚɹɜɟɪɫɢɹ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɵ ɭɱɟɬɚɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹ
ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯ ɝɚɡɨɜɜ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚª
ɆɌɎɄɉȽɈɧɚɩɨɡɜɨɥɹɟɬɩɪɨɜɨɞɢɬɶɦɨɧɢɬɨɪɢɧɝɭɫɩɟɲɧɨɫɬɢɪɟɲɟ
ɧɢɹɬɚɤɢɯɝɨɫɭɞɚɪɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɯɭɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɱɟɫɤɢɯɡɚɞɚɱɤɚɤɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮ
ɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɢ ɞɟɤɚɪɛɨɧɢɡɚɰɢɹ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɢ ɂɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ ɜ ɷɬɨɣ ɫɢɫɬɟɦɟ
ɞɚɧɧɵɯ ɡɚ  ɝɝ ɩɨɤɚɡɚɥɨ ɱɬɨ ɜɤɥɚɞ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɚ ɢ ɜ
ɫɧɢɠɟɧɢɟ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ȼȼɉ ɢ ɜ ɤɨɧɬɪɨɥɶ ɡɚ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɚɦɢ ɉȽ ɨɫɬɚɜɚɥɫɹ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

ɞɨɜɨɥɶɧɨɫɤɪɨɦɧɵɦɈɧɧɟɬɨɥɶɤɨɧɟɩɨɡɜɨɥɹɥɧɟɣɬɪɚɥɢɡɨɜɚɬɶɝɟɧɟɪɢɪɭɟɦɵɣ
ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɣɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɶɸɩɪɢɪɨɫɬɩɨɬɪɟɛɥɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɢɢɢɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜɉȽɧɨ
ɩɟɪɟɤɪɵɜɚɥɫɹɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɵɦɢɫɞɜɢɝɚɦɢɜɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɟɜɩɨɥɶɡɭɛɨɥɟɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦ
ɤɢɯɢɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɢɯɜɢɞɨɜɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɌɚɤɢɦɨɛɪɚɡɨɦɢɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɚɹ
ɩɨɥɢɬɢɤɚɢɫɬɪɭɤɬɭɪɧɚɹɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɚɹɩɨɥɢɬɢɤɚɜɫɮɟɪɟɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɹɷɧɟɪɝɨ
ɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɢɞɟɤɚɪɛɨɧɢɡɚɰɢɢɜɫɢɥɭɫɜɨɟɣɤɪɚɣɧɟɧɢɡɤɨɣɢɧɬɟɧɫɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
ɧɟɩɪɢɧɨɫɢɥɚɠɟɥɚɟɦɵɯɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɨɜɢɨɛɚɧɚɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɢɹɧɭɠɞɚɸɬɫɹɜɪɟɡɤɨɣ
ɢɧɬɟɧɫɢɮɢɤɚɰɢɢɋɨɯɪɚɧɟɧɢɟɜɹɥɨɣɢɦɢɬɢɪɭɸɳɟɣɞɟɹɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɶɚɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
ɜ ɷɬɢɯ ɧɚɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɢɹɯ ɧɟɫɟɬ ɜɵɫɨɤɢɟ ɪɢɫɤɢ ɨɬɫɬɚɜɚɧɢɹ ɜ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ
ɝɨɧɤɟȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɢɞɪɩɨɬɟɪɢɤɨɧɤɭɪɟɧɬɨɫɩɨɫɨɛɧɨɫɬɢɜɵɫɨɤɨɷɧɟɪɝɨ
ɟɦɤɢɯɢɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɨɟɦɤɢɯɪɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɢɯɬɨɜɚɪɨɜɢɭɫɥɭɝɤɚɤɧɚɦɢɪɨɜɵɯɪɵɧɤɚɯ
ɬɚɤɢɧɚɜɧɭɬɪɟɧɧɟɦɚɬɚɤɠɟɪɢɫɤɢɧɟɜɵɩɨɥɧɟɧɢɹɜɡɹɬɨɝɨɨɛɹɡɚɬɟɥɶɫɬɜɚɩɨ
ɞɨɫɬɢɠɟɧɢɸɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣɧɟɣɬɪɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɤɝɨɞɭ
ɋɩɢɫɨɤɥɢɬɟɪɚɬɭɪɵ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɉɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢɢɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟ
ɫɤɢɣɪɨɫɬȼɨɩɪɨɫɵ ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɤɢ, ʋ ɫKWWSVGRLRUJ

ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɚɗɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɶȼȼɉɊɨɫɫɢɢɜɝɝɑ
Ɇɟɠɞɭɧɚɪɨɞɧɵɟɫɨɩɨɫɬɚɜɥɟɧɢɹɗɧɟɪɝɨɫɛɟɪɟɠɟɧɢɟ. ʋɫ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺEɊɨɫɫɢɹɧɚɬɪɚɟɤɬɨɪɢɹɯɞɜɢɠɟɧɢɹɤɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣ
ɧɟɣɬɪɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɬɪɢɱɟɬɜɟɪɤɢɢɨɞɧɚɞɜɨɣɤɚɇɟɮɬɟɝɚɡɨɜɚɹ ɜɟɪɬɢɤɚɥɶ,ʋ
Ȼɚɲɦɚɤɨɜ ɂȺ D ȼɧɟɲɧɹɹ ɬɨɪɝɨɜɥɹ, ɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɪɨɫɬ ɢ
ɞɟɤɚɪɛɨɧɢɡɚɰɢɹ ɜ Ɋɨɫɫɢɢ. Ⱦɨɥɝɨɫɪɨɱɧɵɟ ɩɟɪɫɩɟɤɬɢɜɵ, KWWSVFHQHI[[LUX
DUWLFOHVYQHVKQ\D\DWRUJRYO\DHNRQRPLFKHVNLMURVWLGHNDUERQL]DFL\DYURVVLLGRO
JRVURFKQ\HSHUVSHNWLY\
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺEɋɰɟɧɚɪɢɢɞɜɢɠɟɧɢɹɊɨɫɫɢɢɤɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɨɣɧɟɣ
ɬɪɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢɗɧɟɪɝɨɫɛɟɪɟɠɟɧɢɟʋ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾɎɚɤɬɨɪɧɵɣɚɧɚɥɢɡɷɜɨɥɸɰɢɢɪɨɫ
ɫɢɣɫɤɨɣ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɦɟɬɨɞɨɥɨɝɢɹ ɢ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵ ȼɨɩɪɨɫɵ ɷɤɨɧɨ-
ɦɢɤɢ, ʋɫKWWSVGRLRUJ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺȻɨɪɢɫɨɜɄȻɈɛɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɢɤɥɚɫɫɨɜɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮ
ɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɦɧɨɝɨɤɜɚɪɬɢɪɧɵɯ ɠɢɥɵɯ ɞɨɦɨɜ ɉɪɟɞɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ ɩɨ ɢɡɦɟɧɟɧɢɸ
ɞɟɣɫɬɜɭɸɳɟɣɢɧɨɜɨɣɦɟɬɨɞɢɤɪɚɫɱɟɬɚɗɧɟɪɝɨɫɛɟɪɟɠɟɧɢɟ, ʋ
Ȼɚɲɦɚɤɨɜ ɂ Ȼɚɲɦɚɤɨɜ ȼ Ȼɨɪɢɫɨɜ Ʉ Ⱦɡɟɞɡɢɱɟɤ Ɇ Ʌɟɛɟɞɟɜ Ɉ
ɅɭɧɢɧȺɆɵɲɚɤȺɇɢɡɤɨɭɝɥɟɪɨɞɧɵɟ ɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɢ ɜ Ɋɨɫɫɢɢ: ɧɵɧɟɲ-
ɧɢɣ ɫɬɚɬɭɫ ɢ ɩɟɪɫɩɟɤɬɢɜɵ, KWWSVFHQHI[[LUXDUWLFOHVQL]NRXJOHURGQ\HWHK
QRORJLLYURVVLLQ\QHVKQLMVWDWXVLSHUVSHNWLY\
Ƚɨɫɭɞɚɪɫɬɜɟɧɧɵɣ ɞɨɤɥɚɞ ɨ ɫɨɫɬɨɹɧɢɢ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɫɛɟɪɟɠɟɧɢɹ ɢ ɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɢ
ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ ɜ Ɋɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɣ Ɏɟɞɟɪɚɰɢɢ ɡɚ 2021 ɝɨɞɆɢɧɢ
ɫɬɟɪɫɬɜɨɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɪɚɡɜɢɬɢɹɊɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɣɎɟɞɟɪɚɰɢɢHFRQRP\JRYUX
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɆɗɊɊɎɉɪɢɤɚɡɆɢɧɢɫɬɟɪɫɬɜɚɷɤɨɧɨɦɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɪɚɡɜɢɬɢɹɊɨFɫɢɢ
ɨɬɚɜɝɭɫɬɚɝʋ«Ɉɛ ɭɬɜɟɪɠɞɟɧɢɢ ɦɟɬɨɞɢɤɢ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɚ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨ-
ɫɬɢ ɜɚɥɨɜɨɝɨ ɜɧɭɬɪɟɧɧɟɝɨ ɩɪɨɞɭɤɬɚ Ɋɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɣ Ɏɟɞɟɪɚɰɢɢ ɢ ɨɰɟɧɤɢ ɜɤɥɚɞɚ
ɨɬɞɟɥɶɧɵɯ ɮɚɤɬɨɪɨɜ ɜ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭ ɷɧɟɪɝɨɟɦɤɨɫɬɢ ɜɚɥɨɜɨɝɨ ɜɧɭɬɪɟɧɧɟɝɨ ɩɪɨ-
ɞɭɤɬɚ Ɋɨɫɫɢɣɫɤɨɣ Ɏɟɞɟɪɚɰɢɢ»
ɇɚɰɢɨɧɚɥɶɧɵɣ ɞɨɤɥɚɞ ɨ ɤɚɞɚɫɬɪɟ ɚɧɬɪɨɩɨɝɟɧɧɵɯ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɢɡ ɢɫɬɨɱɧɢ-
ɤɨɜ ɢ ɚɛɫɨɪɛɰɢɢ ɩɨɝɥɨɬɢɬɟɥɹɦɢ ɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯ ɝɚɡɨɜ, ɧɟ ɪɟɝɭɥɢɪɭɟɦɵɯ Ɇɨɧɪɟ-
ɚɥɶɫɤɢɦ ɩɪɨɬɨɤɨɥɨɦɡɚɝɝ
$QJ%:&KRL.+'HFRPSRVLWLRQRIDJJUHJDWHHQHUJ\DQGJDV
HPLVVLRQ LQWHQVLWLHV IRU LQGXVWU\ D UHILQHG 'LYLVLD LQGH[ PHWKRG The Energy
Journal,YROSS
$QJ%: &KRL .+ $FFRXQWLQJIUDPHZRUNVIRUWUDFNLQJHQHUJ\
HIILFLHQF\WUHQGVEnergy EconomicsYROSS
$QJ%:&KRL.+$WWULEXWLRQRIFKDQJHVLQ'LYLVLDUHDOHQHUJ\
LQWHQVLW\ LQGH[ ± $Q H[WHQVLRQ RI LQGH[ GHFRPSRVLWLRQ DQDO\VLVEnergy
Economics,YROSS
%DVKPDNRY ,$ 0\VKDN $'  Factors behind the evolution of
greenhouse gas emissions in Russia’s the energy sector. Analysis based on the national
inventory data0RVFRZ$12³5RVK\GURPHWPHWHRURORJLFDODJHQF\´S
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'5XVVLDQHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\DFFRXQWLQJ
V\VWHPEnergy Efficiency,QRSS'2,V]
%DVKPDNRY ,$  *UHHQKRXVH JDV HPLVVLRQV IURP WKH JOREDO VWHHO
LQGXVWU\WKHSDVWWKHSUHVHQWDQGWKHIXWXUH)HUU0HWDOOBull. Sci., Tech. Econ.
InfQRSSGRL
%DVKPDNRY,7KUHHODZVRIHQHUJ\WUDQVLWLRQVDQGHFRQRPLFJURZWK
National Accounting Review,Volume (Issue) x–x Page'2,1$5
,Q3ULQW
%DVKPDNRY,$1LOVVRQ/-$FTXD\H$%DWDLOOH&-&XOOHQ0GH
OD5XHGX&DQ6)LVFKHGLFN0*HQJ<7DQDND.ɚ,QGXVWU\,Q,3&&
D Climate Change 2022:Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of
Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change >35 6KXNOD - 6NHD 5 6ODGH$$O .KRXUGDMLH 5 YDQ
'LHPHQ'0F&ROOXP03DWKDN66RPH39\DV5)UDGHUD0%HONDFHPL$
+DVLMD * /LVERD 6 /X] - 0DOOH\ HGV@ &DPEULGJH 8QLYHUVLW\ 3UHVV
&DPEULGJH8.DQG1HZ<RUN1<86$GRL
%DVKPDNRY , %DVKPDNRY 9 %RULVRY . ']HG]LFKHN 0 /XQLQ$
*RYRU,ERussia’s carbon neutrality: pathways to 2060&(1();;,
KWWSVFHQHI[[LUXDUWLFOHVUXVVLD¶VFDUERQQHXWUDOLW\SDWKZD\VWR
%DVKPDNRY,0\VKDN$%DVKPDNRY9$%DVKPDNRY9,%RULVRY.
']HG]LFKHN0$/XQLQ$/HEHGHY26KLVKNLQD75XVVLDQHQHUJ\
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

EDODQFHHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\DQGHQHUJ\UHODWHG*+*HPLVVLRQDFFRXQWLQJV\VWHP
Energy EfficiencyKWWSVGRLRUJV
%DVKPDNRY,*UXEE0/RZH5'UXPPRQG30\VKDN$+LQGHU%
E “Minus 1” and energy costs constants: empirical evidence, theory and
policy implications
%LQ 6X $QJ %:  6WUXFWXUDO GHFRPSRVLWLRQ DQDO\VLV DSSOLHG WR
HQHUJ\DQGHPLVVLRQV6RPHPHWKRGRORJLFDOGHYHORSPHQWVEnergy EconomicsQR
'2,MHQHFR
&DKLOO&*DOODFKyLU%3&RPELQLQJSK\VLFDODQGHFRQRPLFRXWSXW
GDWDWRDQDO\VHHQHUJ\DQG&2HPLVVLRQVWUHQGVLQLQGXVWU\Energy PolicyQR
ɪɪ
'KDNDO 6 -& 0LQ[ )/ 7RWK$$EGHO$]L] 0- )LJXHURD 0H]D .
+XEDFHN,*&-RQFNKHHUH<RQJ*XQ.LP*)1HPHW63DFKDXUL;&7DQ7
:LHGPDQQEmissions Trends and DriversIn IPCC, 2022: Climate Change
2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the
Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change >35
6KXNOD- 6NHD 56ODGH$$O .KRXUGDMLH 5YDQ 'LHPHQ '0F&ROOXP 0
3DWKDN66RPH39\DV5)UDGHUD0%HONDFHPL$+DVLMD*/LVERD6/X]
-0DOOH\HGV@&DPEULGJH8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV&DPEULGJH8.DQG1HZ<RUN1<
86$GRL
(,$,QWHUQDWLRQDO±86Energy Information Administration(,$
(QHUGDWD  2'<66((085( GHFRPSRVLWLRQ WRRO Energy efficiency
factors tool that have consequences in the energy consumption ODYSSEE
RG\VVHHPXUHHX
(QHUGDWDWorld Energy & Climate Statistics<HDUERRN:RUOG
HQHUJ\VWDWLVWLFV(QHUGDWD
(QHUJ\,QVWLWXWHStatistical Review of World Energy-XQH
*RK7$QJ%:7UDFNLQJHFRQRP\ZLGHHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\XVLQJ
/0',DSSURDFKDQGSUDFWLFHVEnergy EfficiencyQRSSKWWSV
GRLRUJV]
,($Energy Efficiency
,($Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Energy+LJKOLJKWV
.D\D <  Impact of Carbon Dioxide Emission Control on GNP
Growth: Interpretation of Proposed Scenarios,3&&5HVSRQVH6WUDWHJLHV:RUNLQJ
*URXS 0HPRUDQGXP  ,3&& (QHUJ\ DQG ,QGXVWU\ 6XEJURXS 5HVSRQVH
6WUDWHJLHV:RUNLQJ*URXS
.RLODNRX ( +DW]LJHRUJLRX ( %LWKDV .  Carbon and Energy
Intensity of the USA and Germany. $ /0', 'HFRPSRVLWLRQ $SSURDFK DQG
'HFRXSOLQJ$QDO\VLV'2,UVUVY
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

/DPE:) :LHGPDQQ7 3RQJUDW] -$QGUHZ 5 &ULSSD 0 2OLYLHU
-*-:LHGHQKRIHU ' 0DWWLROL * .KRXUGDMLH$$ +RXVH - 3DFKDXUL 6
)LJXHURD0-6DKHE<6ODGH5+XEDFHN.6XQ/5LEHLUR6..KHQQDV
6GHOD5XHGX&DQ6&KDSXQJX/'DYLV6-%DVKPDNRY,'DL+'KDNDO
67DQ;*HQJ<*X%0LQ[-&$5HYLHZRI7UHQGVDQG'ULYHUVRI
*UHHQKRXVH*DV(PLVVLRQVE\6HFWRUIURPWREnvironmental Research
LettersYRODYDLODEOHDWKWWSVGRLRUJDEHHH
/HH - .LP -  $ 'HFRPSRVLWLRQ $QDO\VLV RI WKH .RUHDQ
0DQXIDFWXULQJ6HFWRU0RQHWDU\YV3K\VLFDO2XWSXWVSustainability, 
KWWSVGRLRUJVX
6XEUDPDQLDQ 6 %DVWLDQ + +RIIPHLVWHU$ -HQQLQJV %7ROHQWLQR &
9DLG\DQDWKDQ 6 1DGHO 6  2022 International Energy Efficiency
Scorecard, :DVKLQJWRQ'&$PHULFDQ&RXQFLOIRUDQ(QHUJ\(IILFLHQW(FRQRP\
ZZZDFHHHRUJUHVHDUFKUHSRUWL
:HVW7$:XQGHU366LOOV(2%|UQHU-5LIDL6:1HLGHUPHLHU$1
)UH\*3.RQWROHRQ$$FWLRQQHHGHGWRPDNHFDUERQRIIVHWVIURPIRUHVW
FRQVHUYDWLRQZRUNIRUFOLPDWHFKDQJHPLWLJDWLRQScience, YRO ɪɪ
5HIHUHQFHV
%DVKPDNRY,$3RY\VKHQL\HHQHUJRHIIHNWLYQRVWLLHNRQRPLFKHVNL\
URVW>(QHUJ\HIILFLHQF\DQGHFRQRPLFJURZWK@Issues of Economy.QRSS
KWWSVGRLRUJ
%DVKPDNRY ,$ D (QHUJR\HPNRVW 993 5RVVLL Y  JJ
&+ >(QHUJ\ LQWHQVLW\ RI WKH 5XVVLDQ  *'3 3DUW @ International
comparisons, Energy Conservation,QRSS
%DVKPDNRY ,$ E 5RVVL\D QD SXWL N XJOHURGQR\ QH\WUDOQRVWL WUL
©FKHWYHUNLªLRGQD©GYR\NDª>5XVVLDRQWKHZD\WRFDUERQQHXWUDOLW\WKUHHµIRXUV¶
DQGRQHµWZR¶@Neftegazovaya Vertikal,QR
%DVKPDNRY,$D Vneshnyaya torgovlya Rossii, ekonomicheskiy rost i
dekarbonizatsiya. Dolgosrochnoye videniye>5XVVLD¶VIRUHLJQWUDGHHFRQRPLFJURZWK
DQGGHFDUERQL]DWLRQ/RQJWHUPYLVLRQ@0RVFRZ5XVVLDKWWSVFHQHI[[LUXDUWLFOHV
UXVVLDVIRUHLJQWUDGHHFRQRPLFJURZWKDQGGHFDUERQL]DWLRQORQJWHUPYLVLRQ
%DVKPDNRY ,$ E 6WVHQDULL GYL]KHQL\D 5RVVLL N XJOHURGQR\
QH\WUDOQRVWL>5XVVLD¶VFDUERQQHXWUDOLW\SDWKZD\V@Energy Conservation, QR
%DVKPDNRY ,$ 0\VKDN $'  )DNWRUQ\\ DQDOL] HYRO\XWVLL
HQHUJRHIIHNWLYQRVWLY5RVVLLPHWRGRORJL\DLUH]XOWDW\>)DFWRUDQDO\VLVRIHYROXWLRQ
RI5XVVLDQHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\PHWKRGRORJ\DQGRXWFRPHV@Issues of Economy.QR
SSKWWSVGRLRUJ
%DVKPDNRY ,$ %RULVRY .%  3UHGOR]KHQL\D SR RSUHGHOHQL\X
GH\VWYX\XVKFKH\ L QRYR\ GHVLJQDWLQJ HQHUJ\ HIILFLHQF\ FODVVHV WR DSDUWPHQW
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

EXLOGLQJV >5HFRPPHQGDWLRQV WR UHYLVH WKH FXUUHQW DQG WKH QHZ DVVHVVPHQW
PHWKRGRORJLHV@Energy Conservation,QR
%DVKPDNRY, %DVKPDNRY9%RULVRY . ']HG]LFKHN 0 /HEHGHY 2
/XQLQ $ 0\VKDN $  Nizkouglerodnyye tekhnologii v Rossii:
sovremennoye sostoyaniye i perspektivy >/RZ FDUERQ WHFKQRORJLHV LQ 5XVVLD
FXUUHQW VWDWXV DQG SHUVSHFWLYHV@ KWWSVFHQHI[[LUXDUWLFOHVORZFDUERQ
WHFKQRORJLHVLQUXVVLDFXUUHQWVWDWXVDQGSHUVSHFWLYHV
Gosudarstvennyy doklad o sostoyanii energosberezheniya i
energoeffektivnosti v Rossiyskoy Federatsii>6WDWH5HSRUWRQWKHVWDWXVRI
HQHUJ\ FRQVHUYDWLRQ DQG HQHUJ\ HIILFLHQF\ LQ WKH 5XVVLDQ )HGHUDWLRQ@
HFRQRP\JRYUX
Prikaz Ministerstva ekonomicheskogo razvitiya RF ot 1 avgusta 2019 g. ʋ
471 «Ob utverzhdenii metodiki rascheta energoyemkosti valovogo vnutrennego
produkta Rossiyskoy Federatsii i otsenki vklada osnovnykh faktorov v dinamiku
energoyemkosti valovogo vnutrennego produkta Rossiyskoy Federatsii» 
>0LQLVWU\RI(FRQRP\RIWKH5XVVLDQ)HGHUDWLRQ2UGHURIWKH0LQLVWU\RI
(FRQRP\RIWKH5XVVLDQ)HGHUDWLRQRI$XJXVW1R³2QWKHDSSURYDO
RI WKH PHWKRGRORJ\ IRU HVWLPDWLQJ WKH HQHUJ\ LQWHQVLW\ RI WKH JURVV GRPHVWLF
SURGXFW RI WKH 5XVVLDQ )HGHUDWLRQ DQG DVVHVVLQJ WKH FRQWULEXWLRQ RI LQGLYLGXDO
IDFWRUVWRWKHG\QDPLFVRIWKHHQHUJ\LQWHQVLW\RIWKHJURVVGRPHVWLFSURGXFWRIWKH
5XVVLDQ)HGHUDWLRQ´@
2WFKHWRQDWVLRQDOQRP NDGDVWUH DQWURSRJHQQ\NKY\EURVRY L]LVWRFKQLNRYL
DEVRUEWVLL SRJORWLWHO\DPL SDUQLNRY\NK JD]RY QH UHJXOLUX\HP\NK 0RQUHDOVNLP
SURWRNRORP ]D  JRG\ >1DWLRQDO ,QYHQWRU\ 5HSRUW RI DQWKURSRJHQLF
HPLVVLRQVIURPVRXUFHVDQGUHPRYDOVE\VLQNVRIJUHHQKRXVHJDVHVQRWFRQWUROOHG
E\WKH0RQWUHDO3URWRFROIRU@
$QJ%:&KRL.+'HFRPSRVLWLRQRIDJJUHJDWHHQHUJ\DQGJDV
HPLVVLRQ LQWHQVLWLHV IRU LQGXVWU\ D UHILQHG 'LYLVLD LQGH[ PHWKRG The Energy
Journal,YROSS
$QJ%: &KRL.+ $FFRXQWLQJ IUDPHZRUNVIRU WUDFNLQJHQHUJ\
HIILFLHQF\WUHQGVEnergy EconomicsYROSS
$QJ%:&KRL.+$WWULEXWLRQRIFKDQJHVLQ'LYLVLDUHDOHQHUJ\
LQWHQVLW\ LQGH[ ± $Q H[WHQVLRQ RI LQGH[ GHFRPSRVLWLRQ DQDO\VLVEnergy
Economics,YROSS
%DVKPDNRY ,$ 0\VKDN $' 
Factors behind the evolution of
greenhouse gas emissions in Russia’s the energy sector. Analysis based on the national
inventory data
0RVFRZ$12³5RVK\GURPHWPHWHRURORJLFDODJHQF\´S
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'5XVVLDQHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\DFFRXQWLQJ
V\VWHPEnergy Efficiency,QRSS'2,V]
%DVKPDNRY ,$  *UHHQKRXVH JDV HPLVVLRQV IURP WKH JOREDO VWHHO
LQGXVWU\WKHSDVWWKHSUHVHQWDQGWKHIXWXUH)HUU0HWDOOBull. Sci., Tech. Econ.
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

InfQRSSGRL
%DVKPDNRY,7KUHHODZVRIHQHUJ\WUDQVLWLRQVDQGHFRQRPLFJURZWK
National Accounting Review,9ROXPH,VVXH[±[3DJH'2,1$5
,Q3ULQW
%DVKPDNRY,$1LOVVRQ/-$FTXD\H$%DWDLOOH&-&XOOHQ0GHOD
5XHGX&DQ6)LVFKHGLFN0*HQJ<7DQDND.D,QGXVWU\,Q,3&&
D Climate Change 2022:Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of
Working Group III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change >35 6KXNOD - 6NHD 5 6ODGH$$O .KRXUGDMLH 5 YDQ
'LHPHQ'0F&ROOXP03DWKDN66RPH39\DV5)UDGHUD0%HONDFHPL$
+DVLMD * /LVERD 6 /X] - 0DOOH\ HGV@ &DPEULGJH 8QLYHUVLW\ 3UHVV
&DPEULGJH8.DQG1HZ<RUN1<86$GRL
%DVKPDNRY , %DVKPDNRY 9 %RULVRY . ']HG]LFKHN 0 /XQLQ$
*RYRU,ERussia’s carbon neutrality: pathways to 2060&(1();;,
KWWSVFHQHI[[LUXDUWLFOHVUXVVLD¶VFDUERQQHXWUDOLW\SDWKZD\VWR
%DVKPDNRY,0\VKDN$%DVKPDNRY9$%DVKPDNRY9,%RULVRY
. ']HG]LFKHN 0$ /XQLQ$ /HEHGHY 2 6KLVKNLQD 7  5XVVLDQ
HQHUJ\EDODQFHHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\ DQG HQHUJ\UHODWHG*+* HPLVVLRQ DFFRXQWLQJ
V\VWHPEnergy EfficiencyKWWSVGRLRUJV
%DVKPDNRY,*UXEE0/RZH5'UXPPRQG30\VKDN$+LQGHU%
E “Minus 1” and energy costs constants: empirical evidence, theory and
policy implications
%LQ 6X$QJ %:  6WUXFWXUDO GHFRPSRVLWLRQ DQDO\VLV DSSOLHG WR
HQHUJ\DQGHPLVVLRQV6RPHPHWKRGRORJLFDOGHYHORSPHQWVEnergy EconomicsQR
'2,MHQHFR
&DKLOO&*DOODFKyLU%3&RPELQLQJSK\VLFDODQGHFRQRPLFRXWSXW
GDWDWRDQDO\VHHQHUJ\DQG&2HPLVVLRQVWUHQGVLQLQGXVWU\Energy PolicyQR
SS
'KDNDO 6 -& 0LQ[ )/ 7RWK$$EGHO$]L] 0- )LJXHURD 0H]D .
+XEDFHN,*&-RQFNKHHUH<RQJ*XQ.LP*)1HPHW63DFKDXUL;&7DQ7
:LHGPDQQEmissions Trends and DriversIn IPCC, 2022: Climate Change
2022: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the
Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change>35
6KXNOD- 6NHD 5 6ODGH$$O.KRXUGDMLH 5 YDQ 'LHPHQ' 0F&ROOXP 0
3DWKDN66RPH39\DV5)UDGHUD0%HONDFHPL$+DVLMD*/LVERD6/X]
-0DOOH\HGV@&DPEULGJH8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV&DPEULGJH8.DQG1HZ<RUN1<
86$GRL
(,$,QWHUQDWLRQDO86Energy Information Administration(,$
(QHUGDWD  2'<66((085( GHFRPSRVLWLRQ WRRO Energy efficiency
factors tool that have consequences in the energy consumption ODYSSEE
RG\VVHHPXUHHX
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺɢɞɪ
%DVKPDNRY,$0\VKDN$'%DVKPDNRY9$HWDO

(QHUGDWDWorld Energy & Climate Statistics<HDUERRN:RUOG
HQHUJ\VWDWLVWLFV(QHUGDWD
(QHUJ\,QVWLWXWHStatistical Review of World Energy-XQH
*RK7$QJ%:7UDFNLQJHFRQRP\ZLGHHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\XVLQJ
/0',DSSURDFKDQGSUDFWLFHV(QHUJ\(IILFLHQF\, QRSSKWWSV
GRLRUJV]
,($Energy Efficiency
,($Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Energy+LJKOLJKWV
.D\D <  Impact of Carbon Dioxide Emission Control on GNP
Growth: Interpretation of Proposed Scenarios´ ,3&& 5HVSRQVH 6WUDWHJLHV
:RUNLQJ *URXS 0HPRUDQGXP  ,3&& (QHUJ\ DQG ,QGXVWU\ 6XEJURXS
5HVSRQVH6WUDWHJLHV:RUNLQJ*URXS
.RLODNRX ( +DW]LJHRUJLRX ( %LWKDV .  Carbon and Energy
Intensity of the USA and Germany. $ /0', 'HFRPSRVLWLRQ $SSURDFK DQG
'HFRXSOLQJ$QDO\VLV'2,UVUVY
/DPE:) :LHGPDQQ7 3RQJUDW] -$QGUHZ 5 &ULSSD 0 2OLYLHU
-*-:LHGHQKRIHU ' 0DWWLROL * .KRXUGDMLH$$ +RXVH - 3DFKDXUL 6
)LJXHURD0-6DKHE<6ODGH5+XEDFHN.6XQ/5LEHLUR6..KHQQDV
6GHOD5XHGX&DQ6&KDSXQJX/'DYLV6-%DVKPDNRY,'DL+'KDNDO
67DQ;*HQJ<*X%0LQ[-&$5HYLHZRI7UHQGVDQG'ULYHUVRI
*UHHQKRXVH*DV(PLVVLRQVE\6HFWRUIURPWREnvironmental Research
LettersYRODYDLODEOHDWKWWSVGRLRUJDEHHH
/HH - .LP -  $ 'HFRPSRVLWLRQ $QDO\VLV RI WKH .RUHDQ
0DQXIDFWXULQJ 6HFWRU 0RQHWDU\ YV 3K\VLFDO 2XWSXWV Sustainability,  
KWWSVGRLRUJVX
6XEUDPDQLDQ 6 %DVWLDQ + +RIIPHLVWHU$ -HQQLQJV %7ROHQWLQR &
9DLG\DQDWKDQ 6 1DGHO 6  2022 International Energy Efficiency
Scorecard. :DVKLQJWRQ'&$PHULFDQ&RXQFLOIRUDQ(QHUJ\(IILFLHQW(FRQRP\
ZZZDFHHHRUJUHVHDUFKUHSRUWL
:HVW7$:XQGHU366LOOV(2%|UQHU-5LIDL6:1HLGHUPHLHU$1
)UH\*3.RQWROHRQ$$FWLRQQHHGHGWRPDNHFDUERQRIIVHWVIURPIRUHVW
FRQVHUYDWLRQZRUNIRUFOLPDWHFKDQJHPLWLJDWLRQScience, YRO 
ɉɨɫɬɭɩɢɥɚ ɜ ɪɟɞɚɤɰɢɸ: 07.09.2023 ɝ.
Ⱦɨɪɚɛɨɬɚɧɚ ɩɨɫɥɟ ɪɟɰɟɧɡɢɪɨɜɚɧɢɹ: 29.09.2023 ɝ.
ɉɪɢɧɹɬɚ ɤ ɩɭɛɥɢɤɚɰɢɢ: 06.11.2023 ɝ.
Ⱦɥɹɰɢɬɢɪɨɜɚɧɢɹ)RUFLWDWLRQ
ȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜɂȺɆɵɲɚɤȺȾȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼȺȻɚɲɦɚɤɨɜȼɂȻɨɪɢ
ɫɨɜɄȻȾɡɟɞɡɢɱɟɤɆȽɅɭɧɢɧȺȺɅɟɛɟɞɟɜɈȼɒɢɲɤɢɧɚɌȻ
Ɉɰɟɧɤɚɜɤɥɚɞɚɬɟɯɧɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨɮɚɤɬɨɪɚɜɩɨɜɵɲɟɧɢɟɷɧɟɪɝɨɷɮɮɟɤɬɢɜɧɨɫɬɢ
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹɢɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹɬʋ
)XQGDPHQWDODQG$SSOLHG&OLPDWRORJ\YQR

ɢ ɞɢɧɚɦɢɤɭ ɜɵɛɪɨɫɨɜ ɩɚɪɧɢɤɨɜɵɯ ɝɚɡɨɜ ɜ ɫɟɤɬɨɪɟ ©ɷɧɟɪɝɟɬɢɤɚª Ɋɨɫɫɢɢ
Ɏɭɧɞɚɦɟɧɬɚɥɶɧɚɹ ɢ ɩɪɢɤɥɚɞɧɚɹ ɤɥɢɦɚɬɨɥɨɝɢɹ ɬ  ʋ  ɫ 
GRL
%DVKPDNRY ,$ 0\VKDN $' %DVKPDNRY 9$ %DVKPDNRY 9,
%RULVRY .% ']HG]LFKHN 0* /XQLQ$$ /HEHGHY 29 6KLVKNLQD 7%
$VVHVVPHQW RI WKH WHFKQRORJLFDO IDFWRU FRQWULEXWLRQ WR HQHUJ\ HIILFLHQF\
LPSURYHPHQWVDQGWRWKHHYROXWLRQRIHQHUJ\UHODWHGJUHHQKRXVHJDVHVHPLVVLRQVLQ
5XVVLD Fundamental and Applied Climatology YRO  QR  SS 
GRL